Texas Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions
Tony Stewart – Texas has been a good track for Tony Stewart. He’s won here twice and has finished in the top ten 48% percent of the time. This weekend I think he might be mid-teens good. In the Chase at tracks of this length he’s been solid, he’s scored the 10th most points and has a 13.7 average finish. His results in those events are 9th (Charlotte), 16th (Kansas) and 16th (Chicagoland). This spring Stewart missed the race due to injury. Brian Vickers who drove the #14 looked low-teens good until he had trouble on the track. Last fall Stewart only completed 52 laps and finished 42nd after being in an accident. In spring 2015 he finished 24th and had a 17th place average running position. In the two Texas races prior to that he had results of 10th and 11th. (Yahoo B Driver)
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Trevor Bayne – In the Chase Trevor Bayne has been a high-teens to low-twenties driver. His results on this track type in the playoffs are 17th, 18th and 23rd. On Sunday it’s reasonable to expect him to finish around that range again. By his standards Texas hasn’t been a bad track for him. In 4 of the last 7 races he’s finished between 15th and 19th. It’s important to note all of those results were in the spring events. This spring he ran well and legitimately had top ten potential, but poor pit strategy had him running on old tires for a very long time and then when he eventually pitted the caution came out, which cemented him back in the running order. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 15th, had a 15th place average running position and led 12 laps (pit strategy). Last fall at Texas Bayne was low twenties good but on lap 197 while he was running in 22nd he had a tire go down and it damaged his right rear and tore his brake line. That led to him finishing 39th. In spring 2015 he finished 18th and had a 21st place average running position. In fall 2014 he was high-twenties good but wrecked which led to a 39th place finish. In spring 2014 he finished 19th. (Yahoo B Driver)
Aric Almirola – This has been a lost season for Aric Almirola, but he has shown improvement late in the season. Since New Hampshire minus Kansas (accident) he has a 14.2 average finish and has had a result between 8th and 17th every race. This year at 1.5 mile tracks a typical result for him is a finish in the low to mid-twenties. At Texas Almirola currently has 4 straight results between 18th and 24th. Over those events he has a 21.3 average finish and a 23.3 average running position. This spring he started 24th, finished 24th and had a 26th place average running position. Last fall for probably about 75% percent of the race he ran between 15th and 20th. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 18th, had a 21st place average running position and earned the 22nd best driver rating. In spring 2015 he finished 19th.(Yahoo B Driver)
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