Las Vegas Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions
Paul Menard – Las Vegas has been a standout intermediate track for Paul Menard. He runs very well here and since 2011 he hasn’t finished below 15th. Additionally over the last six races he has a 9.8 average finish, 12.7 average running position and the 11th best driver rating. Last year at Las Vegas he started in the rear of the field but raced his way up to a 15th place finish. It was a solid afternoon. In 2015 he finished 12th, earned the 14th best driver rating and had a 16th place average running position. In 2014 he had an impressive performance and his car really shined during long runs. In the event Menard started in 21st, had a 10th place average running position, earned the 6th best driver rating and finished 3rd. In 2013 he had a solid race. He finished 10th, had a 12th place average running position and earned the 12th best driver rating. In 2012 he started in 26th and drove up to a 7th place result. In 2011 he finished 12th. At Atlanta I’ll note I didn’t like how the #27 team performed. That said the track surface between Atlanta and Las Vegas is a night and day difference. (Yahoo B Driver)
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Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – I’m not going to set the bar too high in terms of expectations regarding Ricky Stenhouse Jr. The best case scenario is a result in the mid-teens, the most likely scenario is him finishing between the high-teens and the low-twenties. Early in 2016 the #17 team ran well at 1.5 mile tracks, and that included a successful afternoon at Las Vegas. Last year at “Sin City” he finished 12th and earned the 14th best driver rating. In his three prior starts he didn’t run well. In 2015 his team missed the setup and he wasn’t even close to being competitive. When the checkered flag waved he finished 29th, earned the 28th best driver rating and had a 27th place average running position. In 2014 he didn’t run much better and finished 27th and had a 20th place average running position. In his first start he didn’t run bad, he finished 18th but don’t overlook his 13th place average running position and 14th best driver rating. At Atlanta Stenhouse Jr. ran well. He finished 13th and had a 9th place average running position. (Yahoo B Driver)
Trevor Bayne – Trevor Bayne will likely prove to be a high-teens to low-twenties performer at Las Vegas. In 4 of his 6 Las Vegas starts he’s finished between 17th and 23rd. On Sunday I wouldn’t be surprised to see him finish within that range again. Last year at Las Vegas he was a high-teens driver. In the race he finished 17th, had a 19th place average running position and earned the 20th best driver rating. In 2015 Roush Fenway Racing as an organization looked lost and he was really bad. In the race he finished 28th and had a 30th place average running position. In the two Las Vegas races prior to that he had results of 20th and 23rd. At Atlanta I liked how Bayne ran. He finished 12th and had a 12th place average running position. (Yahoo B Driver)
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