Las Vegas Personal / Comparative Fantasy Values
Drivers have two types of fantasy value every week. They have Personal Fantasy Value, and Comparative Fantasy Value.
Personal Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver is at a certain track compared to the other venues on the circuit.
Comparative Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver compares to the competition at a certain track.
The levels of fantasy value from best to worst are … High > Medium-High > Medium > Low
[themify_box]Fantasy Tip: This post is aimed to help those in allocation based leagues.[/themify_box]
Let’s talk about Kurt Busch’s fantasy value at Las Vegas.
His Personal Fantasy Value is low. Las Vegas ranks as one of his very worst tracks. His average finish is 21.2, he’s only worse in that statistic at Martinsville. Since 2006 he’s only finished in the top ten twice and both of those results were 9th. The rest of his results since then are 16th or worse.
His Comparative Fantasy Value is high. I expect him to be competitive on Sunday. Last year he ran well and finished 9th despite getting a pit penalty and spinning. Last weeks strong performance at Atlanta also boosts confidence that he’ll have a successful afternoon. It’s important to note his risk level is pretty high so there is a danger element in regards to picking him.
