Phoenix Fantasy NASCAR – The Low Tier
Danica Patrick – Phoenix hasn’t been a good track for Danica Patrick. Over the last five races she has a 22.4 average finish and a 24.6 average running position. Last fall she didn’t run well. When the checkered flag waved she finished 29th and had a 31st place average running position. She didn’t have any problems in the race, she was just that bad. In spring 2016 she had an OK race. Patrick finished 19th, had a 22nd place average running position and earned the 21st best driver rating. In fall 2015 she had her best finish at Phoenix and came home with a 16th place result. I will note with how the race ended it was an inflated finish. Six laps before the final caution came out she was running in 24th. In spring 2015 he didn’t have a great race and finished 26th. Last year at shorter flat tracks Patrick had a 19.8 average finish and a 23.2 average running position. (Yahoo B Driver)
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Chris Buescher – At Phoenix I think Chris Buescher might have high-teens to low-twenties fantasy potential. I’m giving the extra optimism to Buescher based on his better equipment. In 4 of AJ Allmendinger’s last five Phoenix races he’s finished in either 16th or 17th. On paper Phoenix hasn’t been a good track for Buescher. Last fall he didn’t run well and was never better than a low-thirties driver. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 32nd and had a 33rd place average running position. In spring 2016 he didn’t run much better. He finished 31st and had a 31st place average running position. In the last two races this season Buescher has finished 23rd and 24th. (Yahoo C Driver)
Michael McDowell – At Phoenix I think McDowell will be a mid-twenties to low-thirties driver. He’ll need help from attrition to finish better than that. Last fall at Phoenix he was about a 30th place driver but finished slightly worse after he wrecked with two laps to go while running around 28th. That problem led to his 34th place finish. His average running position for the afternoon was 29th. Last spring in the desert he finished 26th and had a 29th place average running position. In his Phoenix races prior to that he never finished better than 31st. (Yahoo C Driver)
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Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier
