Chicagoland Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Ranking Picks

1) Kyle Busch (Starting – 1st)
Chicagoland Fantasy Spin – Kyle Busch will be tough to beat at Chicagoland from the pole. This weekend he has a great car. In Happy Hour he had the best overall speed, and the second best ten lap average. At Chicagoland Busch is an elite performer. He has five straight top tens and is a past champion. Over those five combined races he has the 3rd best driver rating, a 6.0 average finish and a 5.4 average running position. One attribute I really like about Kyle Busch is that he’s really been performing well in recent races at high-speed intermediate tracks. In the last three races at 1.5 mile tracks he has the second–best driver rating, a 3.7 average running position, a 4.0 average finish and has led 234 laps. On Sunday look for Busch to finish in the top five and compete for the win.
Chicagoland Track History – Kyle Busch had a strong showing last year at Chicagoland despite getting caught speeding on pit road while running in 4th on lap 174. When the checkered flag waved he finished 8th, had a 7th place average running position and earned the 7th best driver rating. In 2015 he was top 3 good but finished 9th after falling back because of a late caution. In that race he earned the best driver rating, led the most laps (121) and had a 3rd place average running position. In 2014 he ran well throughout the race and was a consistent front runner. He finished 7th, had a 6th place average running position and led 46 laps. In the two races prior to that he finished 2nd and 4th.
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2) Martin Truex Jr. (Starting – 3rd)
Chicagoland Fantasy Spin – Martin Truex Jr. will be a favorite to win at Chicagoland. He’s the defending champion and this year at 1.5 mile tracks nobody has been better than him. Over the six combined races at tracks of this length he’s won three-times, has scored the most points, has a 3.7 average result and is the only driver who’s finished in the top ten every race. I’m sure the #78 team has been saving their very best equipment for the Playoffs and on Sunday I would look for him to finish in the top five, and be a serious factor in competing for the win. Ina Happy Hour Truex Jr. had the 4th best ten lap average.
Chicagoland Track History – Last year at Chicagoland Martin Truex Jr. had a great car and raced his way to victory lane after taking advantage of a late caution. If there wasn’t a late caution it should be noted he likely would’ve finished in 2nd. Additionally in the race he earned the 2nd best driver rating and led 32 laps. In 2015 he finished a slightly misleading 13th. There was a late caution in that race and he lost quite a bit of positions during the restart. Performance wise I thought he was really 5th place good. In that race he earned the 4th best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and led 39 laps.
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3) Kevin Harvick (Starting – 4th)
Chicagoland Fantasy Spin – Kevin Harvick should have a strong showing at Chicagoland. Performance wise I would look for him to compete for a top five finish. In Happy Hour his car was really quick and his ten lap average ranked as the best. I will note I think Harvick has some dark horse potential heading into Chicagoland because in the last two races here he’s had misleading results. Chicagoland ranks as one of Harvick’s best tracks and there’s really no reason he shouldn’t run well as long as he has an incident free race. This year at 1.5 mile tracks minus Las Vegas where he had problems he’s finished in the top ten every race and has a 6.6 average finish.
Chicagoland Track History – Kevin Harvick had a phenomenal car last year at Chicagoland but finished 20th. In the race he started in the rear of the field but climbed up into the top ten around lap 27. Unfortunately his race wasn’t incident free and around lap 50 a caution came out during the pit cycle and that trapped him a lap down. The race had few cautions and that doomed his afternoon. If that caution didn’t trap him a lap down he probably would’ve been a factor to win. In 2015 he had a great car but had a got a cut tire after contact from Johnson while battling for the lead which led to his 42nd place finish. Performance wise I thought he was easily top 3 good. In 2014 I thought he had the best car. In that race he earned the 2nd best driver rating, finished 5th, had a 5th place average running position and led the most laps (79). In 2013 he finished 3rd.
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