The Fantasy NASCAR Low Tier – Kansas
Ty Dillon – It’s likely nothing good will come from picking Ty Dillon at Kansas. He’s finished well the last two races here, but I think picking him is a trap! The reason why I say that is because this year at intermediate tracks he hasn’t performed well and has typically been mid-twenties good, “performance wise.” At Texas he finished well because of mass attrition, but in the other three races at intermediate tracks he had results of 24th (Atlanta), 26th (Atlanta) and 27th (Auto Club Speedway). Last year at Kansas, Dillon had a great season and swept the teens. Last fall there was a ton of carnage and he finished 16th. “Performance wise” I thought he was slightly worse than his result and the carnage did a good job padding his result. Last spring at Kansas, Ty Dillon spun early on lap 59 while running in 16th but he still rebounded to come home with a 14th place finish. Additionally in the race he earned the 21st best driver rating and had a 22nd place average running position. In fall 2015 he made a pre-rookie start but I wouldn’t read into it. In that race he drove the #33 and finished 26th.
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David Ragan – At Kansas I think David Ragan has a good chance to be a low-twenties driver. This year at 1.5 mile tracks he’s finished 23rd every race and I see no reason why that trend shouldn’t continue. Last year at Kansas, David Ragan had a good season and had a pair of 17th place results. For his tier I think he has great value this week.
AJ Allmendinger – Don’t expect much out of AJ Allmendinger at Kansas. Performance wise I think he’ll likely be about a low to mid-twenties driver. This year he’s been really bad at 1.5 mile tracks. Over the three combined races at 1.5 mile tracks he has a 29.7 average finish and a 26.7 average running position. Last year at Kansas, Allmendinger had a rough season and had a pair of results in the 30’s. Last fall he was caught up in the “Big One” and then later he spun which marked the end of his race and doomed him to a 32nd place finish. Performance wise I would say he was low-twenties good. Last spring he didn’t have an incident free race and finished 30th. While he was running in the mid-twenties with 72 laps to go he got into the wall after having contact with Paul Menard. In 2016 he had a pair of 8th place finishes but it needs to be noted his team was much more competitive at that time.
Matt DiBenedetto – At Kansas I would look for Matt DiBenedetto to be about a mid-twenties driver. If attrition comes into play then I think he has potential to finish marginally better. Las Vegas is the most similar track visited this year and at that venue he finished 22nd. At Kansas, DiBenedetto has a 27.2 average finish. Last fall he finished 22nd but I’ll note the attrition rate was really high. In the two Kansas races prior to that he had results of 32nd and 24th.
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Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier
