Indianapolis Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Ranking Picks
1) Kyle Busch (Starting – 1st)
Indianapolis Fantasy Spin – Kyle Busch is a super-elite performer at Indianapolis who’ll be the driver to beat. He’s a two-time winner who’s finished in the top two in 4 of the last 6 races. Last year he had the dominant car and if he wasn’t taken out in a restart wreck he would likely have three straight Indy wins. Pocono is a good barometer for success at Indy and at that venue this year he finished 3rd in June, and in July he raced his way to victory lane and led 52 laps. On Sunday I would look for Busch to compete for the win, and at worst finish in the top five.
Indianapolis Track History – Indianapolis has been a phenomenal track for Busch and in recent races nobody has been better. In 4 of the last 6 he’s finished in the top two. Over his last five incident free races his average finish is 3.2. Last year, Busch had a great car and was the class of the field but finished 34th after wrecking while battling Truex Jr. for the lead during a restart. In the race he earned the best driver rating, led 87 laps and won the first two Stages. In the eight Indy races prior to last year he finished in the top ten. In 2016, nobody had anything for him and his car was in a zip code of its own. In addition to winning he earned a perfect driver rating and led 149 laps. In 2015 he took the lead during a late restart and drove his way to victory lane. In addition to winning he earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and led 19 laps. In 2014 he finished runner-up and earned the 3rd best driver rating.
DraftKings $11,700 / FanDuel $14,000
NOTE: This post will be updated with changes if needed following NASCAR inspection which starts at 2PM on Saturday.
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2) Kevin Harvick (Starting – 2nd)
Indianapolis Fantasy Spin – Kevin Harvick is a strong performer at Indy who should be on your short list of favorites. On Sunday I think he’ll finish in the top five and be in the mix for the win. At Indy he’s performed at an extremely high level and currently has four straight top tens. Over that four race stretch he has the 2nd best driver rating, a 5.8 average finish and a 6.0 average running position. Pocono is a great barometer for success at Indy and at that venue in July I thought he had the best car (Finished 4th and led 30 laps despite starting near the back and having late contact on pit road). One attribute I like about Harvick heading into the weekend is his momentum. Over the last seven races he’s finished in the top ten every race and has a 5.0 average finish.
Indianapolis Track History – Kevin Harvick is a former Indy winner who’s consistently performed well. Last year, he had a strong showing. He finished 6th, had a 6th place average running position, earned the 3rd best driver rating, finished 4th in Stage #1 and 5th in Stage #2. In 2016 he had a solid performance. He finished 6th, earned the 6th best driver rating and had a 9th place average running position. In 2015 he had a great car that was arguably the best. If he would’ve had a good late restart I think he would’ve won. When the race reached its conclusion he earned the best driver rating, led the most laps (75), had the best average running position (3.0) and finished 3rd. In 2014 he earned the 4th best driver rating, had a 6th place average running position and finished 8th.
DraftKings $12,200 / FanDuel $13,700
3) Joey Logano (Starting – 5th)
Indianapolis Fantasy Spin – Joey Logano should prominently be on your fantasy NASCAR radar at Indy. It’s a special track for Penske Racing and as an organization they’ve had an uptick in performance in recent races. At Indy, Logano currently has five straight top tens, on Sunday I think he’ll extend that streak. “Performance Wise” I think he’ll finish in the top ten and compete for a top five.
Indianapolis Track History – Indy has been a good track for Logano. Over the last five races he has the 4th best driver rating, a 5.2 average finish and an 8.4 average running position. Last year, Logano had a strong showing. He finished 4th, earned the 5th best driver rating, finished 5th in Stage #1 and 7th in Stage #2. In 2016, Logano had a good performance. He finished 7th, earned the 7th best driver rating and had an 8th place average running position. In 2015, Logano was a consistent front runner. He started 2nd, finished 2nd, had a 5th place average running position, earned the 3rd best driver rating and led 28 laps. In 2014 he finished 5th, earned the 6th best driver rating and had a 9th place average running position. In 2013 he finished 8th and led 11 laps.
DraftKings $8,600 / FanDuel $12,500