Las Vegas Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Ranking Picks

1) Kevin Harvick (Starting – 5th)
Las Vegas Fantasy Spin – Kevin Harvick will be the favorite to win at Las Vegas. He’s a super-elite performer at 1.5 mile tracks and Las Vegas has been a stellar track for him. This spring at Las Vegas, he dominated the competition and his car was in a zip code of its own. On Sunday his team will be using the same setup. Since 2015 at Las Vegas minus the race last year, Harvick’s won twice, has a 3.0 average finish and a 3.7 average running position. This year at 1.5 mile tracks which correlate to success he’s arguably been the best. At these venues minus Charlotte he has 3 wins, a 2.2 average finish and a 3.8 average running position. In practice, the #4 car was fast. In practice #2 his ten lap average ranked as the 4th best and in Happy Hour his ten lap average ranked as the 8th best. On Sunday I would look for Harvick to finish in the top five and be a serious threat to win.
Las Vegas Track History – This spring at Las Vegas, nobody was better than Kevin Harvick. He earned a perfect driver rating, finished 1st, led 214 laps and won both Stage #1 and Stage #2. Additionally, Kevin Harvick had the best green flag average speed, was the fastest driver early in a run, was the fastest driver late in a run and he had 27.8% of the fastest laps. In 2017 he was a top five contender but finished a misleading 38th. In the race he started in 19th and quickly advanced up through the running order. Everything was going well for him until lap 68 when he had a flat tire and shot into the wall while running in 6th. In 2016 he had a strong showing. He earned the 4th best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and finished 7th. In 2015, Harvick finished 1st, earned the best driver rating, had a 4th place average running position and led a race high 142 laps.
DraftKings $11,700 / FanDuel $14,200

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2) Martin Truex Jr. (Starting – 10th)
Las Vegas Fantasy Spin – Martin Truex Jr. in a recent Las Vegas winner who’ll be tough to beat. In recent Las Vegas races he ranks as one of the best. He won last year, and in 3 of the last 4 races he’s finished in the top 4. Over that four race stretch he has the best driver rating, the best average finish (4.5) and has the 3rd best average running position (6.3). This year at 1.5 mile tracks, Truex Jr. has been fast. At tracks of this length minus Texas he has a 3.0 average finish, a 6.3 average running position and has finished in the top five every race. Kentucky is the last 1.5 mile track visited and he easily raced his way to victory lane there. Heading into the weekend I do wish he had momentum. Over the last six races he’s finished in the top ten just once. On Sunday I think the #78 team will return to form and I think Truex Jr. has a great chance to finish in the top five. In practice his car was extremely strong. In both Saturday practice sessions his ten lap average ranked as the 3rd best.
Las Vegas Track History – Las Vegas has been a great track for Truex and as you read above in recent races he ranks as one of the best. Earlier this year, Truex Jr. had a strong showing. He finished 4th, earned the 4th best driver rating and had a 5th place average running position. Additionally, he finished 2nd in Stage #1 and 7th in Stage #2. Last year, Keselowski had problems late and that allowed Truex Jr. to race his way to victory lane. In addition to winning he won Stage #1, won Stage #2, earned the best driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position and led a race high 150 laps. In 2016 he was a solid low-double digits performer. He finished 11th, earned the 11th best driver rating and had a 12th place average running position. In 2015 Truex Jr. had a great car and was a consistent front runner. He finished 2nd, earned the 3rd best driver rating and had a 6th place average running position.
DraftKings $9,900 / FanDuel $13,000

3) Kyle Busch (Starting – 4th)
Las Vegas Fantasy Spin – Kyle Busch should be on your short list of favorites at Las Vegas. It’s been a great track for him and in recent races he’s been one of the best. Over the last three Las Vegas races he’s been a top five contender. This year at 1.5 mile tracks Kyle Busch has been a super-elite performer and has arguably been the best. In 2018 at these venues he’s won 3 races, has the best average finish (3.7), the best average running position (5.1) and is the only driver who’s finished in the top ten every race. On Sunday I would look for Kyle Busch to finish in the top five and be in the mix for the win. In both practice sessions on Saturday his ten lap average ranked in the top ten (7th in practice #2 and 9th in Happy Hour).
Las Vegas Track History – Las Vegas is Kyle Busch’s home track and he’s performed at a very high-level. Since 2013 minus 2017 when he spun at the end he has a 5.3 average finish and a 6.5 average running position. This spring, Busch had a great car. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 2nd, earned the 5th best driver rating and had a 7th place average running position. Additionally, he finished 9th in Stage #1 and 5th in Stage #2. In 2017 he was strong but finished a misleading 22nd. On the final lap while he was running in 4th he was spun. In 2016 he was a factor to win but had problems late. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 4th, earned the 6th best driver rating, had a 6th place average running position and led 38 laps. While he was leading with 13 laps to go he started to complain about having a vibration and that led to him dropping back a few positions.
DraftKings $12,300 / FanDuel $13,800