Las Vegas – The Fantasy NASCAR Low Tier

David Ragan – David Ragan hasn’t had a high-level of success at Las Vegas. This weekend I’m going to view him as a low to mid-twenties driver, but that said I wouldn’t be surprised if he finishes in the high-teens. At Las Vegas over the last five races Ragan has a 26.6 average finish and a 27.8 average running position. Last fall he finished 27th, but I’ll note he was better than his result. His average running position was 22nd and with 10 laps to go he was running in 17th. Then trouble struck late and with two laps to go he was involved in a multi-car wreck that doomed him to his poor result. Last spring at Las Vegas he started 23rd and finished 23rd. In the two races prior to that when his team wasn’t as competitive he finished 29th and 32nd. Last week at Atlanta he finished 16th and had a 22nd place average running position.

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Ty Dillon – At Las Vegas, like every other intermediate track on the schedule you want to limit expectations for Ty Dillon. “Performance Wise” I would look for him to be a low to mid-twenties driver. In his two incident free Las Vegas races he’s finished within the range I’m projecting. Last fall he had a tough race and finished 34th. I’ll note he didn’t run well and his race wasn’t incident free. On lap 111 while he was running in 29th he had a flat tire and careened into the wall. Last spring he had a pretty forgettable afternoon. He started 31st, had a 27th place average running position and finished 24th. In 2017 when he made his debut, he finished 21st, had a 22nd place average running position and earned the 22nd best driver rating.

Bubba Wallace – At Las Vegas you need to keep expectations really low for Bubba Wallace. I would project him as a mid-twenties driver. Last fall at Las Vegas, Wallace didn’t have a good performance and finished 38th after having front hub issues. After the Stage #2 caution he took his car to the garage. Prior to his problem he never looked better than high-twenties good. Last spring at Las Vegas he was much better when he made his track debut. He finished 21st, earned the 22nd best driver rating and had a 23rd place average running position. Last week at Atlanta he finished 27th and had a 28th place average running position.

Matt Tifft – Matt Tifft didn’t have a good performance at Atlanta when he made his 1.5 mile track debut in NASCAR’s top series. Last week he finished 28th, had a 30th place average running position and earned the 31st best driver rating. At Las Vegas I think we should expect more of the same from him.

Landon Cassill – At Las Vegas unless you view Landon Cassill as a high-twenties to low-thirties driver then I think you’ll regret picking him. The fantasy ceiling just isn’t high for him. Las Vegas has been a tough track for Cassill throughout his career. His average finish is 32.7, but in 2018 he had the two best results of his career. Last fall he finished a career best 18th. That said, don’t overlook his 30th place average running position and 33rd best driver rating. With 25 laps to go before the late mayhem ensued he was running in 25th. Last spring at Las Vegas he had his next best result and finished 27th.

Ross Chastain – Among “really low-tier drivers”, Ross Chastain isn’t a bad option at Las Vegas. Last year he finished in the 20’s both events. In the fall he finished 20th and in the spring he finished 29th. On Sunday I would put him right around the mid to high-twenties. Last fall in his 20th place effort he had a 31st place average running position and was in 27th with 25 laps to go before all the late mayhem occurred. Last spring at Las Vegas in his track debut he finished 29th and had a 30th place average running position. Last fall in the Xfinity Series at Las Vegas he had a career performance. He raced his way to victory lane and led 60 laps.

Make sure you read the full spectrum of our Las Vegas Fantasy NASCAR Rankings

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