Martinsville Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – Martinsville has been a volatile track for Ricky Stenhouse Jr. In 2017 he finished 10th both races, in his other 6 races since 2015 he has 5 results of 32nd or worse and has a 34.5 average finish. Last fall he had a quiet afternoon. He finished 19th, had a 21st place average running position and earned the 21st best driver rating. In spring 2018 he started in the rear of the field and finished 19 laps down in 37th. By the end of the first Stage he was four laps down because his car was that bad. By the end of Stage #2 he was 9 laps down. Let’s just say, his car was never to his liking. In 2017 at Martinsville he had a great season and had a pair of 10th place finishes. Nobody seen that coming. Those back to back 10th’s were extremely shocking when you take into account in the four races prior to that he had a 37.75 average finish. At Martinsville I would play it safe and just view him as a risky high-teens driver.

Paul Menard – At Martinsville, I think it’s best to view Paul Menard as a high-teens to low-twenties driver. In 4 of the last 5 races he’s finished between 19th to 25th. That said, I wouldn’t be surprised if he sneaks in a better than norm result. Last fall he didn’t have a race to brag about. He started 35th and came home with a 22nd place finish. Additionally, he had a 22nd place average running position and earned the 25th best driver rating. Last spring in his Wood Brothers Racing track debut he ran well. He finished 13th, had a 12th place average running position and earned the 12th best driver rating. In the three Martinsville races prior to that when he was in lesser equipment he had results of 20th, 19th and 25th.

Ty Dillon – Martinsville might just be a track where Ty Dillon might sneak in a good finish. Of course, he’ll need the aid of attrition, but it can happen here. That said, I think it’s best to view him as a high-teens to low-twenties driver and then hope for the best. Last fall, Dillon had his best Martinsville performance and was a solid mid-teens driver. He finished 15th, had a 16th place average running position and earned the 17th best driver rating. Last spring he finished 22nd and had a 23rd place average running position. In fall 2017 at Martinsville on lap 35 he was involved in a minor accident that inflicted some front damage to his car. At the time of that incident he was running in the mid-twenties. After that he never ran well. When the checkered flag waved he finished 30th and had a 34th place average running position. In spring 2017 when he made his Martinsville debut he was a low-twenties driver. He finished 22nd, had a 23rd place average running position and earned the 26th best driver rating.

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