Richmond Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Chris Buescher – Richmond has been a tough track for Chris Buescher, but I wouldn’t overlook him this weekend. In 2019 he’s been beating expectations nearly every week and at Phoenix this spring he finished 16th. At Richmond, Buescher sports a 27.2 average finish and only once over his six races has he finished in the top 20. Last fall he had a very uncompetitive performance. He finished 30th and had a 29th place average running position. In spring 2018, he wasn’t much better. In that event he finished 26th and had a 27th place average running position. In fall 2017 he was horrendous and finished 32nd. In spring 2017 he had his best performance. In that event he finished 17th, had a 20th place average running position and earned the 20th best driver rating. On Saturday night I’m going to be optimistic and view him as a high-teens driver.

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Ty Dillon – Ty Dillon isn’t a very promising prospect at Richmond. His average finish is 24.0 and he’s 4 for 4 in terms of finishing in the 20’s. Last fall he had his worst Richmond performance. He finished 28th, had a 27th place average running position and earned the 26th best driver rating. He just never ran well. Last spring he started 31st and raced his way to a 20th place finish. Additionally, he had a 27th place average running position and earned the 30th best driver rating. In 2017 in his two other starts he recorded results of 22nd and 26th. I will note there is reason for hope in Ty Dillon this week. You heard that right! He finished 15th at Phoenix and this year minus intermediate tracks his average finish is 15th.

Paul Menard – Shorter-flat tracks aren’t an area of strength for Paul Menard. On Saturday night I would view him as a high-teens to low-twenties driver. In 6 of the last 7 races at Richmond he’s finished in the 20’s. In the one race he finished outside of that range he wrecked. Last fall he finished 22nd and had an 18th place average running position. Last spring he didn’t have a good race. He finished 24th, earned the 24th best driver rating and had a 23rd place average running position. In 2017 there’s not much to say about him other than that he finished 25th and 28th. This spring at Phoenix, which is a similar track, he finished 17th.

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