Dover Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Paul Menard – Dover has been a tough track for Paul Menard. In 5 of the last 7 races he’s finished 22nd or worse. Last fall he had one of his better recent results and he finished 16th when the checkered flag waved. Additionally, he had a 17th place average running position and earned the 18th best driver rating. Last spring he finished a misleading 34th after going to the garage on lap 115 because of a wheel issue. Prior to his problems he looked like a mid to high-teens driver. In fall 2017 he was uncompetitive finishing 26th and having a 27th place average running position. In spring 2017 he was likely a high-teens driver but with 57 laps to go he wrecked which led to his 33rd place finish. On Sunday I would look for Menard likely to be about a high-teens driver.

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Chris Buescher – Chris Buescher has been surprisingly competitive this year and at Dover I wouldn’t overlook him despite his 23.2 average finish. This year in incident free races he’s typically been about a mid-teens to 20th place performer. At Dover, I would look for him to finish around that range. At Dover, Buescher hasn’t had a high level of success. His best result is 18th and in 5 of his 6 races he’s finished between 18th to 25th. Last fall, Buescher had a forgettable performance. He finished 25th and had a 25th place average running position. Last spring he was about a 20th place driver. He finished 20th, had a 20th place average running position and earned the 22nd best driver rating. In fall 2017, he had his worst Monster Mile performance. The race full of long green flag runs and he went on to finish 30th. In spring 2017, he was a low-twenties driver. He finished 23rd, earned the 24th best driver rating and had a 21st place average running position.

Ty Dillon – Ty Dillon hasn’t run well at Dover, but I wouldn’t overlook him. His team is running better this year and on Sunday I would look for him to be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. Entering the weekend in his last 4 races at non-super speedway’s his average finish is 17.5. At Dover, Ty Dillon doesn’t have a good track record. His average finish is 24.2 and in 4 of his 5 races he’s finished 22nd or worse. Last fall at the Monster Mile he wasn’t remotely competitive. He finished 29th and had a 29th place average running position. Last spring he also didn’t have a performance to brag about. He finished 24th and had a 26th place average running position. In fall 2017 he he finished 22nd and had a 26th place average running position. The race was full of green flag runs and it led to him finishing 3 laps down. In spring 2017 he had a quality performance, but it can largely be tied to circumstances. He caught lucky break caution and took advantage of it which led to him leading 27 laps. He was on pace to finish around 4th, but on the last lap he wrecked which led to him finishing 14th.

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