The Low Tier – Dover
David Ragan – Look for David Ragan to likely finish around the mid 20’s at Dover. In the last 7 races minus Talladega he’s finished in the 20’s and his average finish over that stretch is 25.4. At the Monster Mile, Ragan currently has 3 straight results in the 20’s. Over those combined races he sports a 24.0 average finish and a 25.3 average running position. Last fall he didn’t run well. He finished 24th and had a 28th place average running position. Last spring he didn’t run well. He finished 27th, had a 28th place average running position and earned the 30th best driver rating. In fall 2017 he finished 21st, had a 21st place average running position and earned the 21st best driver rating. In the two races prior to that he had back to back 30th’s.
Michael McDowell – 2019 has been a disastrous season for Michael McDowell. At non-Super Speedway’s his average finish for the season is a dismal 29.6. At Dover I would be happy to see him walk away with a mid-twenties finish. Over the last five races at “The Monster Mile” he sports a 23.5 average finish and a 25.5 average running position. Last fall he didn’t have a good performance. He finished 26th and had a 27th place average running position. In spring 2018, he finished 22nd and had a 25th place average running position. In fall 2017 the race was full of long green flag runs and that was bad news for him. The number you need to know from that race for him is 27. He finished 27th, had a 27th place average running position and earned the 27th best driver rating. In the two races prior to that he had results of 19th and 20th.
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Matt Tifft – At Dover, I think the fantasy NASCAR ceiling is really low for Tifft. “Performance Wise” I think it would be wise to pencil him in as a mid-twenties to high-twenties driver. That’s essentially his 2019 weekly level of performance. At Dover, Tifft will be making his track debut in NASCAR’s top series. Last year in the lower series he had results of 8th and 15th.
Ross Chastain – This year at non-super Speedway’s, Ross Chastain has finished between 27th to 34th every race. At Dover I would look for him to finish right around that range again. Dover hasn’t been a good track for Chastain and his average finish over his four starts is 30.8. Last fall at the Monster Mile he didn’t run well but he wasn’t 37th place bad. He had rear gear problems that led to his poor result. Prior to his problem he looked low 30’s good. Last spring he was a high-twenties driver. He finished 28th and had a 29th place average running position. In 2017 at Dover he had results of 38th and 20th (tons of attrition in that race).
Landon Cassill – Expectations need to be near the basement for Landon Cassill at Dover. If you pick him you should expect him to be a high-twenties to low-thirties driver which is basically his 2019 weekly level of performance. At Dover, his last four races where he didn’t wreck were in the range I’m projecting. Last year he finished in the low 30’s both races and had results of 31st and 33rd.
Make sure you read the full spectrum of our Dover Fantasy NASCAR Rankings
Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier
