Watkins Glen Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – At Watkins Glen, look for Ricky Stenhouse Jr. to be a mid-teens to about 20th place performer. In 4 of his 6 races here he’s finished between 16th to 20th. Last year, Stenhouse Jr. had his best race at Watkins Glen and when the race reached its conclusion he finished 16th and had a 20th place average running position. In 2017 when the checkered flag waved Stenhouse Jr. finished 20th, had a 22nd place average running position and earned the 23rd best driver rating. In 2016 he wrecked and finished 38th. “Performance wise”, I would estimate he was maybe around 20th place good. In 2015 he didn’t run well. He started 30th, had a 28th place average running position and finished 34th. In the two races prior to that he had results of 20th and 18th. At Sonoma earlier this year, Stenhouse Jr. finished 21st. On Sunday, I would view him as a high-teens to low-twenties driver.

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Daniel Hemric – Daniel Hemric might have some upside at Watkins Glen. Earlier this year at Sonoma, he didn’t have a bad road course debut in the top series. When the checkered flag waved at that west coast track he finished 15th and had a 19th place average running position. I view Sonoma as a tougher track to master since its more technical, so his performance there is definitely a plus. Last year at Watkins Glen in the lower series, Hemric finished 16th. On Sunday, I’m going to play very conservatively and view him as a high-teens to low-twenties driver.

Austin Dillon – Watkins Glen has been a challenging track for Austin Dillon. His average finish is 27.2 and over the last four races he’s finished 26th or worse. That’s certainly not encouraging, but one would have to think he’s due for a good finish at some point. Last year, Dillon had a poor performance at Watkins Glen and finished 27th. I will note he was slightly better than his result. His average running position was 21st and with 7 laps to go while he was running in 25th he went off-roading which dropped him off the lead lap. In 2017, Dillon didn’t have a good performance. He finished 26th and had a 20th place average running position. I will note his average running position is a better indicator towards his level of competitiveness. In 2016, Austin Dillon had a tough race and was involved in an accident which led to his 31st place finish. In 2015 the race didn’t go smoothly for him. Around lap 40 he spun with Larson while they were running in 12th and 14th. That damaged his car and on lap 45 he had a flat tire that caused pretty notable damage to his left rear. After that you could stick a fork in him. On Sunday, I would view him as a high-teens to low-twenties driver.

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