Dover Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Austin Dillon – Austin Dillon has been a respectable performer at Dover and in 4 of the last 6 races he’s finished 16th or better. Over the last six combined races he has a 14.7 average finish and a 16.8 average running position. Earlier this year when Dillon was in his massive slump he didn’t run well and was a high-teens driver. He finished 19th, had an 18th place average running position and earned the 18th best driver rating. Last fall at “The Monster Mile” he had his all-time best result at the venue. When the checkered flag waved he finished 7th, had a 13th place average running position and earned the 13th best driver rating. I will note with 11 laps to go before all the late mayhem ensued he was running in 12th. In spring 2018 he didn’t run well. He finished 26th and had a 27th place average running position. At no point did he show potential. In the three races prior to that he was solid and had results of 16th, 12th and 8th.

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Ty Dillon – Dover hasn’t been a good track for Ty Dillon. He’s only finished respectable once, and that was a very unconventional race (good amount of attrition and then a caution came out during a green flag pit cycle and it greatly benefited him). In his other five minus that unconventional race he’s finished 22nd or worse. Over the last four Dover races, Dillon has a 24.3 average finish and a 25.5 average running position. Earlier this year at Dover, Dillon was a low-twenties driver. He finished 22nd, earned the 22nd best driver rating and had a 21st place average running position. Last fall at the Monster Mile he wasn’t remotely competitive. He finished 29th and had a 29th place average running position. In spring 2018 he didn’t run well. In that race he finished 24th and had a 26th place average running position. In fall 2017 he he finished 22nd and had a 26th place average running position. On Sunday, I would look for Dillon to be a low to mid-twenties driver.

Michael McDowell – At Dover, look for Michael McDowell to be a low to mid-twenties driver. Over the last six Dover races he’s finished between 19th to 27th and his average finish is 23.6. Earlier this year, McDowell was a mid-twenties driver. He finished 24th, had a 24th place average running position and earned the 26th best driver rating. Last year, McDowell had results of 26th and 22nd for the season.

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