Dover Fantasy NASCAR Top Tier Elite Picks

Martin Truex Jr. – Martin Truex Jr. is a premiere performer at Dover and on Sunday he’ll likely be the driver to beat. He easily raced his way to victory lane this spring, and in 5 of the last 6 races here he’s finished in the top 4. On Sunday, I would look for Truex Jr. to finish in the top five and be a serious threat to win. Earlier this year at Dover, nobody was better than Truex Jr. He started in the rear of the field but that wasn’t a problem. When Stage #2 ended, he was the leader. When the checkered flag waved he finished 1st, earned the best driver rating and led 132 laps. Last fall, Truex Jr. had his worst Dover race in a long time and finished 15th. I’ll note that’s a misleading result. During a debris caution with 60 laps to go while he was running in 3rd he was caught speeding on pit road. From the race I’ll note he finished 10th in Stage #1 and 3rd in Stage #2. In spring 2018, Truex Jr. had a phenomenal car. He finished 4th, earned the 3rd best driver rating and had a 7th place average running position. In Stage #1 he made an unexpected pit stop but in Stage #2 he finished 7th. In the three races prior to that he had results of 4th, 3rd and 1st.

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Kevin Harvick – Kevin Harvick is a super-elite performer at Dover who should be on your short list of favorites. He’s a recent winner and in 2 of the last 3 Dover races he’s led +200 laps. Over the last three combined races, Harvick has the best driver rating by a wide margin, the best average finish (3.7), the best average running position (3.0) and he’s led the most laps (488). Earlier this year, Harvick had a strong showing and ran near the front for the entirety of the race. When the checkered flag waved he finished 4th, had a 4th place average running position and earned the 3rd best driver rating. Additionally, he finished 5th in Stage #1 and 3rd in Stage #2. Last year at “The Monster Mile” he was the class of the field in both races. Last fall, Harvick had the field covered but finished a misleading 6th. In the race he won Stage #1, won Stage #2 and led 286 laps. Unfortunately, his race wasn’t incident free. With 78 laps to go while he was the leader he pitted twice because of loose wheel. At some points in the race he had a 10 second lead! In spring 2018, nobody had anything for him. He finished 1st, earned the best driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position, led 201 laps and ran 113 fastest laps. Additionally, he won Stage #1 and Stage #2. On Sunday, I would look for Harvick to finish in the top five and compete for the win.

Chase Elliott – Chase Elliott is an elite-performer at Dover who’ll be tough to beat. He’s the defending champion of this particular event and his overall finish is an impressive 4.4. In 6 of his 7 Dover races he’s finished in the top five. Earlier this year, Elliott had a great car. He started on the pole, finished 5th, earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 3rd place average running position and led a race high 145 laps. Additionally, he finished 3rd in Stage #1 and 4th in Stage #2. Last fall, Elliott had a great car and raced his way to victory lane. In addition to winning he earned the 3rd best driver rating, had an 8th place average running position, finished 5th in Stage #1 and 9th in Stage #2. I’ll note his race wasn’t incident free. During the Stage #1 caution his team had an uncontrolled tire and that penalty dropped him back to the high-teens. With 11 laps to go before all the late mayhem ensued he was running in 3rd. In spring 2018, Elliott had his lone result outside the top five and finished 12th. That afternoon he had a 9th place average running position and earned the 10th best driver rating. On Sunday, look for Elliott to compete for a top five.

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Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier