Dover 2 Post Practice Fantasy NASCAR Predictions

We’re on to Round 2 of the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs this weekend with the Drydene 400 at Dover International Speedway. Dover is a 1-mile concrete oval where track position has become extremely important. Looking back at the last time we were here (May), all of the top nine finishers started 15th or better, and seven of them qualified inside the top 10.

In qualifying on Saturday, Denny Hamlin barely squeeked by Kyle Larson for the Dover 2 pole, while Martin Truex, Jr., Kevin Harvick, and Chase Elliott rounded out the top 5. You can view the entire starting lineup by clicking here. There were two pre-qualifying practice sessions held on Friday, and the speeds from those can be found here: Practice #1 — Happy Hour. You should also read our in-depth notes for those sessions: Practice #1 — Happy Hour.

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Final Top 25 Fantasy NASCAR Rankings for Dover 2

1. Martin Truex, Jr. – Starts 3rd – DraftKings Price: $11,600 – FanDuel Price: $14,500 – Slingshot Price: $13,300

Martin Truex, Jr. is going to contend for the win at Dover this weekend. As weird as it is to say, this #19 team is hitting their full stride right now, and Dover is one of Truex’s best tracks on the schedule. He went to victory lane here back in May (so he’s looking for the season sweep this weekend) and has also finished 4th or better in five of the last six races at “The Monster Mile.” That includes this last win here at Dover, which came in this fall race back in 2018. As far as speed this weekend, Truex has one of the fastest overall cars–which is always a good sign for him, since the #19 team usually doesn’t show the most speed in practice–and in Happy Hour, Martin ranked 6th when it came to ten-lap average.

2. Kevin Harvick – Starts 4th – DraftKings Price: $11,100 – FanDuel Price: $14,000 – Slingshot Price: $12,500

Look for Kevin Harvick to definitely contend for the win at Dover this Sunday. He won the spring race here last season and the #4 Ford has also won four of the last six Stages (well, five of the last nine if you include the end of the race as a ‘Stage’). Anyway, Harvick finished 4th in the spring race at Dover this season, which is actually pretty good when you consider how this team was running back in May. Now, as far as momentum goes, Harvick has finished 4th or better in four of the last five races overall, and the only other finish during that span is a 7th. Harvick also has nine finishes of 7th or better in nine of the last ten Cup Series races overall. Speed-wise, the #4 Ford had the best ten-lap average in first practice on Friday and ranked 4th on that chart in Happy Hour. Unless he has a major issue during the race, I’d consider Harvick a lock for at least a top 5 finish on Sunday.

3. Kyle Larson – Starts 2nd – DraftKings Price: $9,700 – FanDuel Price: $12,500 – Slingshot Price: $11,900

Dover is one of Kyle Larson’s best tracks on the circuit, and with how this #42 team is running right now, don’t be surprised it Larson challenges for his first win of the season this weekend–and actually his first win in over two years. Over 11 career starts here at “The Monster Mile,” Larson has an average finish of 8.0, which is 3rd-best in the series behind two drivers with less starts than Larson: Chase Elliott and Daniel Suarez. The surprising thing is, Kyle has never won here…yet. Still, Larson has five top 5 finishes here and only one result worse than 12th: a 25th-place finish in the 2016 fall race. This weekend, the #42 Chevrolet has been good since the start, but was particularly fast in Happy Hour, as Larson had the fastest overall lap and the best ten-lap average as well. Momentum-wise, this #42 team has finished 8th or better in seven of the last nine races, and you can expect that to be eight of the last ten after this weekend is over.