Kansas Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Ranking Picks
1) Martin Truex Jr. / Starting 11th – DraftKings Price $10,800 – FanDuel Price $13,500
Kansas Fantasy Spin – Martin Truex Jr. is a premiere performer at Kansas and on Sunday I think he’ll finish in the top five and compete for the win. Kansas has been a great track for him and in recent races he ranks among the best. He had a dud performance this spring, but in the four races prior to that he had 2 wins and a 2.3 average finish. This year at 1.5 mile tracks, Truex has been strong. Over the eight combined races held at tracks of this length he has 2 wins and a series best 8.9 average finish. At Las Vegas, the most recent 1.5 mile track visited he closed out strong and raced his way to victory lane. In Happy Hour, Truex Jr. had the 3rd best 10 lap average and the 8th best 15 lap average.
Kansas Track History – Kansas has been a great track for Martin Truex Jr. and in recent races he’s arguably been the best. This spring at Kansas, Truex Jr. simply didn’t run well and it was an off night for the Joe Gibbs organization. When the race reached its conclusion this spring he finished 19th and had a 19th place average running position. Personally, I wouldn’t read into that result too much. In the four Kansas races prior to that he had 2 wins and a 2.3 average finish. Last fall at Kansas, Truex Jr. was solid. He finished 5th, earned the 8th best driver rating and had a 9th place average running position. In spring 2018, he was strong. He finished 2nd, earned the 6th best driver rating and had a 9th place average running position. In 2017, Truex Jr. pulled out the broom and won both races in dominant fashion.
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2) Brad Keselowski / Starting 4th – DraftKings Price $9,600 – FanDuel Price $12,000
Kansas Fantasy Spin – Brad Keselowski raced his way to victory lane this spring at Kansas and on Sunday he’ll be a driver to be reckoned with. Kansas has been a great track for him and over the last five races he has 3 results in the top 6 and his 7.2 average finish ranks as the 2nd best. One attribute I really like about Keselowski is how well he’s run at 1.5 mile tracks this year. For the season at tracks of this length he has 2 wins and has a series best 5 top fives. No other driver has more than 3. One variable that needs to be noted about Keselowski is that there’s a good chance he’ll be a points racer. He has a slight buffer zone over the cut-line and it’s in his best interest to just have a smooth race and not do anything too aggressive. In Happy Hour, Keselowski had the 6th best 10 lap average.
Kansas Track History – Keselowski has been a successful performer at Kansas. Since 2015 minus fall 2016 when he wrecked he has a 7.8 average finish and he’s had a result in the top 14 every race. This spring at Kansas, Keselowski had a strong showing and late in the race he reeled in Alex Bowman for the win. In addition to finishing first, he earned the 5th best driver rating, led 14 laps and had a 9th place average running position. Last fall at Kansas, Keselowski ran well. He finished 6th, earned the 7th best driver rating and had a 9th place average running position. In spring 2018, Keselowski had a fast car, but finished a misleading 14th. In Stage #2 he made two unexpected pit stops for loose wheels. Prior to pitting he was running in 5th. In Stage #1 he finished 3rd.
3) Kyle Larson / Starting 5th – DraftKings Price $9,400 – FanDuel Price $11,000
Kansas Fantasy Spin – Kyle Larson will be a contender at Kansas. He’s been very competitive here and since 2017 minus fall 2017 when his engine blew up while he was running in 3rd he has a 5.3 average finish, an 8.0 average running position and he’s finished in the top 8 every race. In recent races at 1.5 mile tracks, Larson ranks as one of the best. Over the last three races held at tracks of this length he has a series best 4.7 average finish. One attribute I like about Larson is that he’ll be able to race hard on Sunday since he’s already locked into the next round. On Sunday, look for Larson to compete for a top five. In practice #1, Larson looked strong and had the best 10 lap average. In Happy Hour, Larson strangely didn’t make any long runs.
Kansas Track History – Kyle Larson is a strong performer at Kansas. This spring at Kansas, Larson was solid. He finished 8th and earned the 10th best driver rating. Last fall, Larson started in the rear of the field in a backup car, but raced his way up to a 3rd place finish. In the race he finished 6th in Stage #2, had a 9th place average running position and earned the 6th best driver rating. In spring 2018 he was the class of the field, but finished a misleading 4th. In the race he started in the rear of the field, led 101 laps, earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position, finished 5th in Stage #1 and won Stage #2. Before late cautions came out in mass he was driving away from the field. Him finishing 4th is extremely impressive when you consider he wrecked while running in 3rd with 20 laps to go which dropped him back to the teens. In fall 2017, Larson’s engine blew up while he was running in 3rd. In spring 2017 he finished 6th.
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