Homestead Fantasy NASCAR Front Runner Rankings
Clint Bowyer – Clint Bowyer should be counted on for a solid showing at Homestead. It’s been a good track for him and he’s consistently finished well. In 10 of his 13 races at this worn out 1.5 mile track he’s finished in the top 12. Last year, Bowyer ran well in the season finale. When the checkered flag waved he finished 8th, earned the 10th best driver rating and had an 11th place average running position. In 2017, he had a solid performance. He finished 12th, had a 12th place average running position and earned the 12th best driver rating. Additionally, he finished 10th in Stage #1 and finished just short of the top ten in Stage #2. In the two Homestead races prior to that he wasn’t in a competitive situation so I think those races carry no relevance (Finished 23rd and 43rd). In the four Homestead races prior to that he finished in the top ten and had results of 8th, 5th, 2nd and 6th. On Sunday, look for Bowyer to be a low double-digit driver who has a good chance to finish in the top ten.
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Aric Almirola – Aric Almirola should be high on your fantasy NASCAR radar at Homestead and on Sunday, I would look for him to compete for a top ten. This year at 1.5 mile tracks, Almirola has been solid and over the ten combined races he has an 11.3 average finish and an 11.1 average running position. In all of those races except for one he finished in the top 16. At Homestead, Almirola doesn’t have that great of a recent track record. He ran well last year, but in the five races prior to that he finished 16th or worse. In 2018 in the season finale, Almirola finished 9th, had a 7th place average running position and earned the 7th best driver rating. Additionally, he finished 7th in Stage #1 and 5th in Stage #2. In 2017 in his old ride, he finished 18th and had a 20th place average running position. In the two races prior to that he had problems and finished in the 40’s.
William Byron – William Byron is a strong performer at 1.5 mile tracks who you shouldn’t overlook at Homestead. He’s hungry for win, and on Sunday he’ll be going all out so he can end his season on high-note. I don’t think he’ll win, but I do think he has a great chance to finish in the top ten. At 1.5 mile tracks over the last eight races he has an 11.3 average finish and a 10.4 average running position. In the Playoffs at 1.5 mile tracks he’s finished in the top seven in 2 of the 3 races. Last year at Homestead, Byron didn’t have a debut to brag about. When the checkered flag waved he finished 24th and had a 23rd place average running position. I’ll note he never ran that well, and at one point he got into the wall. Personally I wouldn’t read into that performance at all.
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