Auto Club Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings/ Driver Breakdowns
1) Joey Logano (Starting – 7th)
Auto Club Fantasy Spin – Joey Logano is a super-elite performer at Auto Club Speedway who’ll be tough to beat. He’s consistently performed at a high-level, and currently he’s tied with teammate Brad Keselowski for a series best 5 straight Auto Club top tens. At Auto Club over the last four races, Logano has finished in the top 5 every race, has a series best 4.0 average finish and a 6.0 average running position. In Happy Hour, the #22 was strong. In that session, Logano had the 2nd best 10 lap average and the best 15 lap average. Last week at Las Vegas, Logano had a great car and raced his way to victory lane. On Sunday, look for Logano to compete for a top five and be a serious factor to win.
Auto Club Track History – Joey Logano has run extremely well at Auto Club Speedway. Last year, Logano had a strong showing. He finished 2nd, earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 4th place average running position, finished 2nd in Stage #1 and finished 4th in Stage #2. Additionally, Logano had the 2nd best Green Flag Average Speed and ranked as the 2nd Fastest Driver Late In A Run. In 2018, Logano had a great afternoon. When the checkered flag waved he finished 5th, had a 5th place average running position and earned the 4th best driver rating. Additionally, he finished 3rd in Stage #1 and 6th in Stage #2. In the three Auto Club races prior to that Logano had finishes of 5th, 4th and 7th.
DraftKings $10,900 / FanDuel $13,500
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2) Kevin Harvick (Starting – 5th)
Auto Club Fantasy Spin – Kevin Harvick is a strong performer at Auto Club Speedway who’ll be a factor. He’s performed an extremely high-level and in 3 of the last 5 races he’s finished in the top 4. In the two he finished outside of that range, he didn’t have an incident free race. One attribute you have to like about Harvick is how well he’s performed in recent races at high-speed intermediate tracks. Going back to last year over the last six races on this sub-track type he has 2 wins and a series best 4.2 average finish. Another attribute you have to love about Harvick is how stout he’s been at 2.0 mile ovals. Since 2018 at 2.0 mile ovals minus Auto Club 2018 where he crashed while battling for 3rd, he has 2 wins and a 3.0 average finish. On Sunday, look for Harvick to compete for a top five and be a factor to win.
Auto Club Track History – Kevin Harvick is a former winner at Auto Club Speedway (2011) who’s consistently been a factor. Last year, Harvick had a strong showing. He finished 4th, had a 7th place average running position, finished 4th in Stage #1 and 6th in Stage #2. Additionally, Harvick had the 6th best Green Flag Average Speed and ranked as the 7th Fastest Driver Late In A Run. In 2018 he looked to have a great car, but he crashed on lap 38 while battling Larson for 3rd which led to a 35th place finish. In 2017, Harvick damaged the nose of his car at the start of the race and that afternoon he finished 13th. I wouldn’t read into that result at all. In 2016, Harvick was the class of the field and if there wasn’t a late caution he would’ve won. In the race he earned the best driver rating, finished 2nd, led 142 laps and had a 4th place average running position. In 2015, he also finished runner-up.
DraftKings $11,600 / FanDuel $14,000
Further Recommended Reading – Auto Club Projected Finish Ranges, DraftKings Playability Value Chart/ Projected Base Scores, FanDuel Playability Value Chart/Projected Base Scores, Auto Club Practice Notes/ Practice Speeds Center
3) Kyle Busch (Starting – 17th)
Auto Club Fantasy Spin – Kyle Busch is a fantasy ace at Auto Club Speedway who should be on your short list of favorites. He’s the defending champion and in 6 of his last 8 Auto Club races he’s finished in the top 3. Also over those combined races since 2011 minus 2016 where he had a flat tire while running in 2nd with 3 laps to go he has 3 wins, a 2.3 average finish, a 3.3 average running position and he’s averaged leading 80.6 laps per race. In Happy Hour, Busch was fast over a long run and his 15 lap average ranked as the 6th best. Last week at Las Vegas, Busch had a lack luster performance (15th), but at Auto Club Speedway which is Toyota’s home track they always bring their A-game. On Sunday, look for Busch to finish in the top five and be a serious factor to win.
Auto Club Track History – Kyle Busch has been a stellar performer at Auto Club Speedway. Last year, Busch put on a display of domination. He finished 1st, won the first two Stages, earned a near perfect driver rating, led 134 laps and had a 3rd place average running position. In terms of speed analytics, Busch also ranked as the Fastest Driver Late In A Run and his Green Flag Average Speed ranked as the best. What makes his performance even more impressive last year is that just after he won Stage #2 he was caught speeding on pit road. In 2018, Busch finished 3rd, earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position and led 62 laps. Additionally, he finished 2nd in Stage #1 and 3rd in Stage #2. In 2017, Busch had a solid showing. He finished 8th, had a 6th place average running position and earned the 6th best driver rating.
DraftKings $11,300 / FanDuel $14,000
