Daytona Road Course Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings/ Driver Breakdowns

1) Martin Truex Jr. / Starting 4th/ DraftKings $10,100/ FanDuel $14,000

Martin Truex Jr. is a super-elite performer at road courses who should be on your short list of favorites for the Daytona Road Course. When it comes to this form of racing, he’s arguably the premiere performer in the series. Over the last seven combined road course races, Truex has 3 wins, 2 runner-ups and a 4th place average finish which underrates him. If you credit him with a win at the Charlotte Roval back in 2018 where he was leading until Johnson spun into him at the end, then over the last seven races he would have 4 wins, only one result outside the top 2 and a 2.1 average finish. Last year at road courses over the combined events, Truex scored the most points, had 1 win, a 3.3 average finish and a 5.0 average running position. What makes Truex Jr. so good, is that he’s fast late in a run. Last year at these venues he was the fastest driver late in a run at Sonoma and Watkins Glen, and at the Roval he ranked as the 4th best. At Sonoma, Truex Jr. currently has back to back dominate wins. At Watkins Glen, Truex Jr. has been phenomenal, but Chase Elliott has the edge on him there. Currently at that venue he has three straight results in the top 2, with him finishing 2nd the last two races. In 2017 he raced his way to victory lane there. At the Charlotte Roval he’s been no slouch. He finished 7th last year, and in 2018 if he wasn’t spun in the last turn he would’ve won. On Sunday, Truex Jr. will be tough to beat and don’t be surprised if the road to victory lane goes through him.

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2) Chase Elliott / Starting 7th/ DraftKings $10,300 / FanDuel $13,500

Chase Elliott should be right near the top of your fantasy NASCAR radar for the Daytona Road Course. He’s a super-elite road course racer who’s won the last two races on this track type, and overall 3 of the last 5. Since 2018 on this track type minus Sonoma last year where he had engine problems his average finish is 2.6. Last year at road courses, Chase Elliott had a phenomenal season. He dominated at Watkins Glen, crashed while leading but still won at the Roval, and at Sonoma his engine blew up in the last Stage while he was running in the top 5, so he certainly didn’t lack speed there. In 2018 at road courses, Elliott dominated at Watkins Glen, finished 4th at Sonoma and finished 6th at the Roval. Last year on this track type in terms of speed late in a run, Elliott ranked as the best at Charlotte and ranked as the 2nd best at Watkins Glen. On Sunday at Daytona, look for Elliott to compete for the win.

3) Kevin Harvick / Starting 1st/ DraftKings $9,600 / FanDuel $12,500

Kevin Harvick is a force to be reckoned with, week in and week out, and I don’t think the Daytona Road Course will be any different. When it comes to road course racing, Harvick is one of the best in the business. Last year at road courses, Harvick had a 5.3 average finish, a 7.3 average running position and was one of just three drivers who finished in the top ten every race. Last year on this track type, Harvick had his best day at the Charlotte Roval. At that venue he finished 3rd, led 34 laps and ranked as the 2nd fastest driver late in a run. In 2018 he finished 9th there. I view the Daytona Road Course as a bigger “Roval”, so that performance is very encouraging. At Watkins Glen, Harvick has been solid. Last year at that venue he finished 7th and ranked as the 7th “Fastest driver late in a run.” In 2018, he finished 10th at that New York track. Sonoma has historically been Harvick’s best road course. Over the last five races there he’s finished in the top six and has a 3.8 average finish. Last year he finished 6th. In the two prior Sonoma races he had results of 1st and 2nd. One attribute I love about Harvick is his momentum. He currently has back to back wins, and since July his average finish is 3rd. On Sunday at the Daytona Road Course, look for Harvick to be a factor to win from the pole.