Martinsville Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings / Driver Breakdowns

1) Brad Keselowski (Starting – 1st)
Martinsville Fantasy Spin –  Polesitter, Brad Keselowski is one of the best in the business at Martinsville and on Sunday he’ll be a factor to win. He’s thrived here and since 2016 he’s won twice, he’s 8 for 9 at finishing in the top five and in every race he’s finished in the top ten. One attribute you also have to love about Keselowski is how well he’s performed with the current rules package. In “low down force/ high horsepower races” this year at short tracks/shorter flat tracks, nobody has been better. Over those six combined races he’s raced his way to victory lane in half of them. On Sunday, look for Keselowski to finish in the top five and compete for the win.
Martinsville Track History – Brad Keselowski has been stout at Martinsville. He’s a two-time winner who’s finished in the top five in 8 of the last 9 races. Over the last five combined races, Keselowski has a 4.4 average finish, a 7.5 average running position and he’s averaged leading 98.6 laps per race. Currently, Keselowski has three straight top 3 results at Martinsville. This summer, Keselowski didn’t place in the first two Stages, but when the checkered flag waved he finished 3rd. He was way off early, but got good at the end. In terms of speed late in a run, Keselowski ranked as the 3rd best. Last fall, Keselowski was solid. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 3rd, had the 6th best driver rating, the 6th best average running position (8.6) and ranked as the 10th “Fastest Driver Late In A Run.” At the end of the race he was at his best. In spring 2019, Keselowski crushed the competition. He finished 1st, won both Stage #1 and #2, had a 1st place average running position, earned a perfect driver rating and led 446 laps. In 2018, Keselowski had results of 10th and 4th.
DraftKings $11,400 / FanDuel $13,000

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2) Martin Truex Jr. (Starting – 2nd)
Martinsville Fantasy Spin – Martin Truex Jr. is the premiere performer at Martinsville and on Sunday the road to victory lane will likely go through him. At “The Paper Clip”, Truex Jr. has back to back wins and since fall 2017 he has a 3.2 average finish, a 6.1 average running position and he’s averaged leading a series best 103 laps per race. On Sunday, look for Truex to finish in the top five and compete for the win.
Martinsville Track History – Martin Truex Jr. is a super-elite performer at Martinsville. This summer under the lights, Truex Jr. had a phenomenal car. In the race he finished 1st, led 102 laps, ranked as the Fastest Driver In the Last Quarter Of The Race, 2nd Fastest Driver Late In A Run and had the 3rd best Green Flag Average Speed. What makes his win a little more impressive is that his evening wasn’t incident free. During the Stage #1 caution after just finishing 4th he got a commitment cone violation which sent him to the back. Last fall, Martin Truex Jr. was the class of the field and put on a display of domination. In the race he won Stage #1, won Stage #2, finished 1st when the checkered flag waved, led 464 laps, had a 1.1 average running position and ranked as the “Fastest Driver Late In A Run.” In spring 2019, Truex was a top ten performer. He finished 8th, earned the 8th best driver rating and had a 7th place average running position. In the three Martinsville races prior to that, Truex Jr. had results of 2nd, 3rd and 4th.
DraftKings $11,800 / FanDuel $13,500

3) Kyle Busch (Starting – 9th)
Martinsville Fantasy Spin – Kyle Busch is a super-elite performer at Martinsville who ranks among the best. He was horrendous this summer, but I’m not going to read into that too much. It was under the lights with a return to the 2018 rules package and that threw quite a few top teams for a loop. I’m theorizing an outlier performance from him like that here won’t happen again. At Texas, Busch raced his way to victory lane and at Martinsville I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets win #2. On Sunday, look for Busch to be a top five contender who’ll be a factor to win.
Martinsville Track History – Kyle Busch has thrived at Martinsville. The last two races haven’t been good, but in the eight prior to that he won twice and finished in the top 5 every race. This summer under the lights, Busch struggled, and also got some nose damage. When the checkered flag waved he finished 19th and had a 21.7 average running position. Last fall, Busch was a top five contender but finished a misleading 14th. It’s important to note that race wasn’t incident free. In the race he finished 9th in Stage #1, 7th in Stage #2 but in the final Stage with about 139 laps to go while he was running around 5th, he was involved in a multi-car accident. Since his car appeared to get better as the race progressed, I think it’s more than fair to speculate he was poised to finish in the top five if his race would’ve been incident free. In spring 2019, Busch was strong. He finished 3rd, earned the 4th best driver rating and had a 7th place average running position. In the seven Martinsville races prior to that he had results of 4th, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 5th, 1st and 5th.
DraftKings $9,600 / FanDuel $11,800