Sonoma – Betting Preview

Last week at Charlotta I grabbed a bunch of solid numbers early that weren’t available later in the week. So let’s take a midweek look at the outright odds and we can add some matchups and props later in the weekend. Chase Elliott is (again) a huge favorite to win this weekend, but his odds are about +225 which is already lower than his +250 or +300 odds from COTA. It’s hard to bet a driver at that number so I’m taking a different approach this week. I’m targeting guys that have had success on road courses but have longer odds than you’d expect. Let’s take a look at who has some solid value.

Christopher Bell (28-1) – This one is just too obvious. Bell has the short track/dirt race experience, which tends to lead to road course success. He won already this year at Daytona RC at 66-1 odds. Yes, he’s never raced here but he raced Daytona RC one time before winning there this spring. Also, this course has been changed recently, so no driver has much experience at this track. These odds give Bell about a 3.6% chance to win, and I will bet he wins more often than that. UPDATE: Added +110 Top 10

No Driver to Win Both Stages and the Race -900, 1unit in this case is betting 9u to win 1u. Certainly a bold wager but the pit strategy at road courses makes it nearly impossible to sweep the race. I will also look out for guys on the playoff cut line to stay out and hunt for stage points so Stage 1 and 2 winners will be interesting to look at.