Las Vegas Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Ranking Picks / Post-Practice Predictions

At Las Vegas, are you ready to roll the dice and win big in the Pennzoil 400? First, make sure you know the facts to make educated decisions! This post along with all the other content on ifantasyrace.com should have you more than well prepared to beat the competition!

Las Vegas is a relatively smooth 1.5-mile track. Tire wear is increasing, but by no means is it on Auto Club level. That said, Auto Club could prove to be a great barometer for who’ll be good this weekend, since it’s the only race held at an intermediate track with the Next Gen car. Here’s some info from Auto Club (Loop Data Box Score, Total Speed Rankings, Green Flag Speed and Speed Late In A Run).

This weekend, NASCAR held an extended practice session, so make sure you check out our Practice Notes, Practice Speeds and Advanced Averages post.

Here’s the STARTING LINEUP for Las Vegas.

Las Vegas Fantasy NASCAR Full Field Rankings

1) Kyle Larson/ Start 2nd / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – High
Speed Rankings / 5 Lap Average -1st / 10 Lap Average -1st / 15 Lap Average -4th
Fantasy Spin – At Las Vegas, the road to victory lane will once again go thru Kyle Larson. Larson’s fresh off a win at Auto Club in the Next Gen’s intermediate track debut, he’s the defending spring Las Vegas winner, he’s also the premiere performer at low to minimal wear intermediates and he was fast in practice. On Saturday in practice, Larson had the best 5 lap average, the best 10 lap average and the 4th best 15 lap average. At Las Vegas, Larson has thrived and since 2017 his overall average finish is 5.9. In 2021 at this 1.5-mile track, Larson could’ve had a season sweep if race #2 would’ve been incident free. Last fall, Larson had a great car, but he finished an asterisk mark 10th. In the race, Larson won Stage #1, led 95 laps, had a 6.9 average running position and then finished 10th when the checkered flag waved. In Stage #2, a caution came out that got him out of sync with the field fuel wise, and he simply never fully bounced back. In terms of speed analytics, Larson ranked 4th in both Speed Late In A Run and Total Speed Rankings. In spring 2021, Larson was dominant. He won Stage #2, finished 1st overall, led 103 laps, had a 3.4 average running position and earned the best driver rating. In terms of speed analytics, Larson had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Last week at Auto Club, Larson started in the back, finished 5th in Stage 1 & 2, and then raced his way to victory lane. Over the final 50 laps, Larson had the fastest car on the track. In 2021 at low to minimal wear intermediates minus Kansas #1 where he probably would’ve won if he didn’t have problems late, Larson had 4 wins and a 2.8 average finish.
DraftKings $11,300 / FanDuel $14,000 / DK Betting Odds To Win +500 (Saturday)

Recommended Reading – Las Vegas Projected Finish Ranges, DraftKings Playability Value Chart/ Projected Base Scores, FanDuel Playability Value Chart/ Projected Base Scores

2) Joey Logano / Start 6th / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium
Speed Rankings / 5 Lap Average -9th / 10 Lap Average -7th / 15 Lap Average -5th
Fantasy Spin – At Las Vegas, Joey Logano is a super-elite performer who’ll be tough to beat. The #22 has been in contention to win every race in 2022, and I don’t think that will change at “Sin City”. At Las Vegas, Joey Logano has won 2 of the last 3 spring races, and overall in spring races since 2014 his average finish is 4.75. Last week at Auto Club in the Next Gen’s intermediate track debut, Joey Logano had a great performance. In the race, Logano started in the back, finished 7th in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, led 14 laps, was tied for having the 3rd best Total Speed Ranking and finished 5th when the checkered flag waved. Late in the race, Logano was a serious factor to win. At Las Vegas over the last five races, Logano has 1 win, but in the other four he’s finished between 9th to 14th. That said, don’t let that scare you away. Last fall, Logano was a low double-digit performer. He finished 11th, had an 11.8 average running position and had the 12th best Total Speed Ranking. In spring 2021, Logano was solid. He finished 9th, had an 11.2 average running position, was the 10th Fastest Driver Late In A Run and had the 11th best Total Speed Ranking. In fall 2020, Logano looked very competitive but finished a misleading 14th. In the race, Logano finished 2nd in Stage #1, but then early in Stage #2 shortly after the restart while battling 3-wide for the lead, he had contact with Kyle Busch which led to an unexpected pit stop. In spring 2020, Logano had a strong showing and raced his way to victory lane. I’ll note, Logano didn’t have the best car. He stayed out during the late caution and that ultimately won him the race. If the end of the race would’ve played out naturally, he likely would’ve finished 3rd. In practice, Logano was strong. In the session, Logano had the 7th best 10 lap average and the 5th best 15 lap average.
DraftKings $10,800 / FanDuel $13,000 / DK Betting Odds To Win +800

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3) Ryan Blaney / Start 11th / Projected Finish Range 2-7 / Dominator Potential – Medium
Speed Rankings / 5 Lap Average -3rd /10 Lap Average -3rd / 15 Lap Average -2nd / 20 Lap Average -2nd
Fantasy Spin – Las Vegas has been a great track for Ryan Blaney and you can pencil him in for a good result. In 8 of the last 10 races at “Sin City”, Blaney’s finished between 5th to 7th. Over the last five, Blaney’s 6.6 average finish ranks as the 2nd best. Last fall, Blaney had a great performance, even though his race wasn’t incident free. In the race, Blaney finished 4th in Stage #1 and then 5th when the checkered flag waved. In Stage #2, Blaney was hurt by a caution which got him out of sync with much of the field pit strategy wise so he had to rally back to the front. Also in the race, Blaney had the 4th best average running position (6.8), was the 2nd Fastest Driver Late In A Run and had the 6th best Total Speed Ranking. In spring 2021, Blaney finished 3rd in Stage #1, 5th in Stage #2, finished 5th overall, had a 6.1 average running position and had the 4th best driver rating. In terms of speed analytics, Blaney was the 2nd Fastest Driver Late In A Run and had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking. In 2020, Blaney finished 7th in the fall and then in the spring he was the leader with 6 laps to go, but then a late caution came out and he chose to pit, which ultimately led to his 11th. Last week at Auto Club, Blaney had a great car and was easily top five good but walked away with an asterisk mark result. In the race he finished 8th in Stage #1, 4th in Stage #2, had a 6.9 average running position but then finished a misleading 18th. In terms of speed analytics, Blaney had the 3rd best Total Speed Ranking, was the 3rd Fastest Driver Late In A Run and had the 4th best Green Flag Speed. In practice, Blaney was one of the best and ranked in the top 3 for every speed stat ranging from 5 to 20 lap averages. Blaney was also the only driver who did a +25 lap run.
DraftKings $10,500 / FanDuel $12,500 / DK Betting Odds To Win +1000