Dover Fantasy NASCAR Top Tier Elite Picks
Kyle Larson
Dover Fantasy Spin – At Dover, the road to victory lane will likely go thru Kyle Larson. Larson is a super-elite performer at “The Monster Mile”, and in his last three races he’s come home with results of 1st, 2nd and 3rd. On Sunday, look for Larson to be a top five contender who’ll be a factor to win.
Dover Track History – Kyle Larson is an elite performer at Dover, and it ranks as one of his best tracks. He’s a recent winner who’s performed at an extremely high-level, but you also have to love his consistency. Only once over his thirteen starts has he finished south of 12th. Over the last three Dover races, Larson has a 2.0 average finish, a 2.8 average running position and he’s averaged leading 139 laps per race. In 2021, Larson won Stage #1, won Stage #2, had a 1.8 average running position, led 263 laps and finished 2nd. In terms of speed analytics, Larson had the best Total Speed Ranking, the best green flag speed and was the fastest driver late in a run. In fall 2019 in his next most recent race, Larson led 154 laps and raced his way to victory lane. In spring 2019 he finished 3rd.
William Byron
Dover Fantasy Spin – At Dover, look for William Byron to be strong and be a factor. The #24 team has been one of the best on a weekly basis in 2022, and at Dover, I don’t think that trend will end since he’s performed at a high-level. Currently at the “Monster Mile”, Byron has back-to-back 4th’s. On Sunday, look for Byron to finish in the top five, and potentially compete for the win.
Dover Track History – It appears William Byron has figured out “The Monster Mile”, and since 2019 minus race #1 2020, Byron has a 7.3 average finish and a 7.9 average running position. Last year, Byron had a great race and ranked as one of the best. In the event, Byron finished 6th in Stage #1, 4th in Stage #2, had a 4.2 average running position, led 21 laps and then finished 4th. In terms of speed analytics, Byron had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking and the 4th best Green Flag Speed. In 2020 Race #2, Byron had a stellar showing. In the race, Byron started back in 23rd after a dud performance the day before, but that wasn’t a problem. In the race, Byron finished 3rd in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.1 average running position and had the 3rd best Total Speed Ranking. Byron performing that well was a huge surprise, because the day before he struggled. In Dover Race #1 2020, Byron started 8th, but turned that into a 28th place finish. In the race he fought tight handling conditions, and also used pit strategy that was detrimental (running on older tires longer than others). In the race his average running position was 19.6 and he ranked as the 24th fastest driver late in a run. In 2019, Byron’s Dover results were 8th and 13th.
Ross Chastain
Dover Fantasy Spin – At Dover, throw out your Ross Chastain stats, because in 2022 he’s been one of the best drivers on a weekly basis. Chastain just got his 2nd win of the season at Talladega, and he also leads the series in top five’s (6)! At Dover, Chastain was respectable last year, but outside of that, the results column has been really ugly. On Sunday, look for Chastain to finish in the top ten and compete for a top five.
Dover Track History – At Dover, Ross Chastain’s results column has been brutal. Last year, Chastain was respectable in the #42. In the race, Chastain finished 15th, had a 14.5 average running position and had the 13th best Total Speed Ranking. I wouldn’t bother looking into any of his other results, but if you’re wondering his next five finishes were results of 28th or worse.
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