New Hampshire Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Brad Keselowski
New Hampshire Fantasy Spin – At New Hampshire, Brad Keselowski has the best driver rating in back-to-back races, but in his current ride the #6, you can likely pencil him in as a high-teens to low-twenties driver. This year at shorter-flat tracks over the combined events, Keselowski has an 18.7 average finish, a 19.3 average running position, the 18th best Total Speed Ranking and ranks as the 20th Fastest Driver Late In A Run.
New Hampshire Track History – Brad Keselowski was one of the best in the business at New Hampshire back in his #2 car days. At “The Magic Mile”, Keselowski is a 2-time winner and in 6 of the last 7 races he’s finished in the top ten. Over the last three races, Keselowski has a 4.7 average finish, a 3.4 average running position and he’s averaged leading 83 laps per race. Last year, Keselowski was a standout performer and ranked among the best. In the race, Keselowski finished 2nd in Stage #1, won Stage #2, led 53 laps, had the best average running position (3.3), earned the best driver rating, was the Fastest Driver Late In A Run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. In 2020, Keselowski absolutely dominated the competition. In the race he finished 5th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, won the race, led 184 laps, had a 2.5 average running position and earned a near perfect driver rating. In terms of speed analytics, Keselowski had the best Total Speed Ranking and was the Fastest Driver Late In A Run.

Cole Custer
New Hampshire Fantasy Spin – Cole Custer is 2 for 2 at coming home with solid finishes at New Hampshire, but can he go 3 for 3? I don’t think anyone thinks it’s possible, but I think there’s a slim chance. In 2022 on this track type, Custer has actually finished worse in each new race on this track type with his results being 16th (Phoenix), 22nd (Richmond) and then 29th (Gateway). In terms of Total Speed Rankings over the combined events, Custer ranks 23rd. On Sunday, I think he’s likely a 20’s performer.
New Hampshire Track History – There’s “Horses for courses”, and this seems to be Cole Custer’s track. Over his two combined starts here his average finish is 11th. Last year, Custer was a solid mid-teens performer. In the race he finished 14th, had a 14.7 average running position, was the 14th Fastest Driver Late In A Run and had the 17th best Total Speed Ranking. In 2020, Custer finished 8th, was the 10th Fastest Driver Late In A Run, had the 12th best Total Speed Ranking and had a 13.6 average running position.

Bubba Wallace
New Hampshire Fantasy Spin – This year at shorter-flat tracks, Bubba Wallace is 3 for 3 at finishing between 22nd to 26th. Over those combined events, Wallace has a 24.7 average finish, a 23.9 average running position and the 26th best Total Speed Ranking. When you add in the fact he’s finished in the 20’s, 100% of the time here, I’m good for writing him down for another finish in the 20’s.
New Hampshire Track History – At New Hampshire, Bubba Wallace is 4 for 4 at finishing between 22nd to 26th and his average finish is 23.75. Last year, Wallace didn’t have an incident free race and finished 26th. On lap 139 while racing Chris Buescher in the mid-teens, they had contact and spun. Wallace’s damage wasn’t severe by any standard, but outside of pit cycles he never ran that close to the front again. In addition to his 26th, Wallace had a 22.3 average running position, the 26th best Total Speed Ranking and was the 25th Fastest Driver Late In A Run. In 2020. Wallace started in the rear of the field, finished 23rd, had a 22.4 average running position, ranked as the 24th Fastest Driver Late In A Run and his Total Speed Ranking was the 29th best. In his two starts prior to that, Wallace had results of 22nd and 24th.

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