Kansas #2 Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Justin Haley
Kansas Fantasy Spin – At Kansas, look for Justin Haley to be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. This year at high-speed intermediate tracks minus Kansas and Charlotte, Haley has a 19th place average finish and is 3 for 3 at finishing between 17th to 23rd. I consider Kansas to be a “Mini-Michigan” and at that venue in August, Haley finished 17th.
Kansas Track History – At Kansas, I would just view Justin Haley as a driver without a track record, because it’s that bad. So far in his young Cup career, Haley’s 3 for 3 at finishing 30th or worse and his average finish is 34.6. This spring, Haley had a short race and finished 35th. During a caution around lap 35 he lost a tire (was around 22nd at that time), and then later around the lap 62 caution, there were flames under the #31 which marked the end of his race. In 2021 in the #77, Haley’s Kansas results were 30th and 39th.

Ty Dillon
Kansas Fantasy Spin – At Kansas, use the K.I.S.S principal and pencil in Ty Dillon for a result in the 20’s. As you’ll read below, he’s frequently finished in the 20’s here, and over his last six races his average finish is 22.3. I’ll note, Dillon has been sneaking in respectable results this year at tracks that have correlation and over the non-superspeedways 1.5’s + Michigan grouping, Dillon has finished in the top 20 every race and has a 16.75 average finish. Over that same grouping though, Dillon’s Total Speed Ranking is just the 29th best.
Kansas Track History – At Kansas, Ty Dillon has finished between 20th to 28th in 5 of the last 6 races. This spring, Dillon was 20th place good. In the race he finished 20th, had a 20.6 average running position and had the 23rd best Total Speed Ranking, with him ranking between 21st to 24th over the four segments. In 2021, Dillon obviously missed both races. In 2020, Dillon finished 24th in the fall and then 15th in the spring. In his three races prior to that, Dillon had results of 22nd, 28th and 25th.

Noah Gragson
Kansas Fantasy Spin – Pencil in Noah Gragson as a high-teens to mid-twenties driver for Kansas. Gragson finished in the low end of that range this spring, but the attrition rate was abnormally high. I’ll also note, Gragson’s 18th this spring was also his best non-superspeedway racing result of the year, so it certainly wasn’t the norm.
Kansas Track History – At Kansas, Noah Gragson will be back behind the wheel of the #16. This spring in his Kaulig Racing Chevy, Gragson finished 18th, had a 21.1 average running position and had the 25th best Total Speed Ranking. In both the 3rd and 4th segments, the #16 was the 18th fastest car on the track.

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