Charlotte Roval Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings / Post Practice Predictions
This week, NASCAR will be racing at the Charlotte Roval for what promises to be a wild “Elimination Cut Race.” Four more drivers will get eliminated from title contention, and only Chase Elliott has his ticket punched to the next round. “Desperate drivers do desperate things”, so you know the wildness will be off the charts. The Charlotte Roval is a very unique road course. In terms of studying other road courses for preparation, I would view it as “General Road Course Racing Prowess.” Here’s Total Speed Rankings from the already held five prior road course races this year.
On Saturday, practice was held for the Charlotte Roval. Teams only had 20 minutes, and keep in mind teams have different agenda’s (some want to focus on long runs, some just want to feel out their car, some might focus on qualifying so they can start near the front etc.). Make sure you check out our Charlotte Roval Practice Notes and Charlotte 5 and 10 Lap Average Speed Cheat Sheet.
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Charlotte Roval Full Field Fantasy Rankings
1) Tyler Reddick
Start 4th / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Practice Speed Rankings| 5 Lap Average – 6th
2022 Road Course Speed Rankings| 4th
Charlotte Roval Breakdown – Tyler Reddick will be a driver to be reckoned with at the Charlotte Roval. Reddick finished runner-up last year, and in 2022 at road courses, Reddick’s taken his game up to a whole new level and has entered super-elite territory. At road courses, Reddick has won 2 of the last 3 races and for the season minus Sonoma where he had problems, Reddick has a 3.5 average finish. In terms of Total Speed Rankings over the combined events, Reddick ranks 4th. Last fall at the Roval, Reddick was stout and finished runner-up. His primary strength was speed late in a run, and in that speed stat he ranked as the fastest. In both the 3rd and 4th segments of the race, the #8 ranked as the 2nd fastest car on the track. In 2020, Reddick finished 12th, had a 16.5 average running position and had the 16th best Total Speed Ranking. Reddick’s out of title contention, so on Sunday he can go all out racing for the “W.”
DraftKings $10,500 / FanDuel $13,500 / DK Betting Odds To Win +600
Charlotte Roval Projected Finish Ranges, DraftKings Charlotte Roval Playability Value Chart, FanDuel Charlotte Roval Playability Value Chart
2) Chase Elliott
Start 9th / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Practice Speed Rankings| 5 Lap Average – 22nd
2022 Road Course Speed Rankings| 1st
Charlotte Roval Breakdown – Chase Elliott is the premiere road course racer in NASCAR and at the Charlotte Roval, he’ll be the driver to beat. Elliott’s owned this track and if 2021 would’ve been incident free for him, I think Elliott would likely have three straight wins. Elliott’s winless at road courses so far in 2022, but he hasn’t been lacking when it comes to performance. This year at road courses, Elliott has a series best 6.8 average finish, a series best 7.6 average running position, the best driver rating, he’s averaged leading the most laps per race (18.2) and his Total Speed Ranking over the combined events ranks as the best. At the Charlotte Roval, nobody has been better than Elliott and over the four combined races, Elliott has a series best 5.0 average finish, the best driver rating and in 3 of the 4 races he’s finished in the top 6. Last year, the #9 was a rocket and was potentially the best, but Elliott finished an asterisk mark 12th. In the race, Elliott won Stage #1, finished 2nd in Stage #2 but then on lap 55 early in the final Stage while he was in the process of working his way up thru the field because of pit strategy, Harvick wrecked him. Elliott battled back though and got the last laugh when Harvick crashed himself later. Over the first two segments prior to getting damaged, Elliott had speed rankings of 1st and 5th. In 2020, Elliott didn’t have an incident free race, but still managed to race his way to victory lane. In the race, Elliott finished 2nd in Stage #2, but right when the final Stage was going green, Elliott came to pit road because of a loose wheel. Despite his problem, Elliott led 27 laps, earned the best driver rating and had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking. Over the final segment when it was closing time, Elliott had the fastest car on the track. In 2019, Elliott crashed while leading in the final Stage, but wouldn’t be denied the win and put on a display of domination. In the race, Elliott started 19th, finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2 and led the most laps (34). Elliott’s strength was being fast late in a run, and in that speed analytic he ranked first. In 2018 in the tracks debut, Elliott finished 6th. On Sunday, Elliott can race hard and go all out for the win since he’s already locked into the next round.
DraftKings $10,600 / FanDuel $14,000 / DK Betting Odds To Win +600
3) William Byron
Start 2nd / Projected Finish Range 2-7 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Practice Speed Rankings| 5 Lap Average – 1st
2022 Road Course Speed Rankings| 13th
Charlotte Roval Breakdown – William Byron has been elite at the Charlotte Roval and on Sunday, he’ll be a factor. His points penalty from Texas has been rescinded, but I still expect him to race hard, but he might just take up a “Points Racing Approach.” At the Charlotte Roval, Byron has been one of the best. Over the last three Roval races, Byron has the best driver rating, the best average running position (6.7), he’s averaging leading the most laps per race (26.7) and his average finish is a misleading 7.7 (7th best). Last year, Byron had his best Charlotte Roval performance, but finished an asterisk mark 11th. In the race, Byron had the best Total Speed Ranking, led the most laps (30), had the best average running position (5.2) and the best driver rating. The final Stage was unfortunately anything but incident free for Byron. On lap 90 while battling for 2nd, he missed the chicane which dropped him back to about 11th (penalized) and then on lap 107 after he battled back up to 3rd, he had an out-of-control moment and spun into the grass which led to his 11th. In the two Roval races prior to that, Byron had back-to-back 6th place finishes. In 2018, Byron was poised to once again finish in the top ten, but he was a late victim in the “Restart Big One” while running around 8th. This year at road courses, Byron has had quite a bit of bad luck but he’s shown flashes.
DraftKings $9,900 / FanDuel $11,000 / DK Betting Odds To Win +900
