Las Vegas South Point 400 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings / Post Practice Predictions

At Las Vegas, get ready to roll the dice for the South Point 400. This race will mark the first race of the Round of 8 to settle what four drivers will battle it out at Phoenix for the championship. Las Vegas was the first high-speed 1.5-mile track visited in the Next Gen way back in March, and now it will be the sixth visited. That race was a long time ago, and lots of lessons were learned since. Here’s a look at Total Speed Rankings over the previous five races held. I’ll note, I view Kansas as the sister track, so I would put special emphasis on what happened there a few weeks ago.

On Saturday, practice was held for Las Vegas. Teams only had 20 minutes, and keep in mind teams have different agenda’s (some want to focus on long runs, some just want to feel out their car, some might focus on qualifying so they can start near the front etc.). Make sure you check out our Las Vegas Practice Notes and Las Vegas 5,10 and 15 Lap Average Speed Cheat Sheet.

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Las Vegas Full Field Fantasy Rankings

1) Christopher Bell
Start 7th / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Speed Rankings| 5 Lap Avg – 23rd
Las Vegas Breakdown – Look for Christopher Bell to be a factor at Las Vegas. Bell was strong this spring and for the season at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks minus Texas, Bell has a 5.8 average finish. I view Kansas as the sister track, and a few weeks ago at that venue, Bell finished 3rd and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. This spring at Las Vegas, Bell had a strong showing, despite his race not being incident free. On lap 142 while running in 3rd, Bell had a flat tire that shredded which dropped him all the way back to the low 30’s. In the race, Bell led 32 laps, ranked 7th for Speed Late In A Run, had the 9th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 10th when the checkered flag waved. Last fall, Bell finished 24th but you can quickly disregard that result since he had problems early which doomed him. In spring 2021, Bell finished 6th in Stage #1, 7th in Stage #2 and then 7th when the checkered flag waved. Additionally, Bell had the 7th best Total Speed Ranking and was the 8th Fastest Driver Late In A Run.
DraftKings $10,500 / FanDuel $12,000 

Las Vegas Projected Finish Ranges, DraftKings Las Vegas Playability Value Chart, FanDuel Las Vegas Playability Value Chart

2) William Byron
Start 3rd / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Speed Rankings| 5 Lap Avg – 11th | 10 Lap Avg – 6th | 15 Lap Avg – 3rd
Las Vegas Breakdown – At Las Vegas, put William Byron on your short list of favorites. Byron was one of the best this spring, and for the season at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks, Byron has the 5th best Total Speed Ranking. In the Playoffs at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks, Byron has the best average running position (6.9), the 2nd best driver rating and results of 6th (Kansas) and 7th (Texas). At Las Vegas, Byron has been strong and over the last three races, his driver rating is the 3rd best, despite him having a highly misleading result last fall. This spring, Byron was stout. In the race, Byron finished 2nd in Stage #1, 4th in Stage #2, had a 6.5 average running position, led 8 laps, had the 3rd best driver rating and then finished 5th. In terms of speed stats, he ranked 6th for Speed Late In A Run and 7th for Total Speed Rankings. Last fall, Byron had one of the best cars but finished an asterisk mark 18th. In the race, Byron led 7 laps and finished 5th in Stage #1. Then in Stage #2, there was a caution which got him out of sync with much of the field and it put him behind for the rest of the evening. Late in the race on lap 224 when he battled back up to 5th, he then had a flat tire and made an unexpected pit stop. In terms of speed analytics, Byron had the best Total Speed Ranking and was the 3rd Fastest Driver Late In A Run. In spring 2021, Byron had a great car. In the race he finished 7th in Stage #1, 4th in Stage #2, led 25 laps, ran the 2nd most fastest laps (31), finished 8th overall, had a 6.3 average running position and had the 3rd best Total Speed Ranking.
DraftKings $9,700 / FanDuel $11,000 

3) Tyler Reddick
Start 1st / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Speed Rankings| 5 Lap Avg – 14th
Las Vegas Breakdown – Texas winner, Tyler Reddick is trophy hunting and at Las Vegas, put him prominently on your radar. The high-line comes into play here, and if Reddick can stay off the wall, there’s no question he’ll be tough to beat. In the Playoffs over the combined races at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks, Reddick has the best driver rating. At Kansas a few weeks ago, Reddick might’ve just had the best car (led 38 laps) but he had a flat tire while leading which derailed his afternoon. For The season at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks over the combined events, Reddick’s Total Speed Ranking is the 6th best, with him ranking 3rd, 1st and 4th over the last three races. At “Sin City”, Reddick has a 6.5 average finish over the last two races. This spring, Reddick started in the back, spun into the grass in the race but battled back to finish 7th. In terms of speed stats, Reddick ranked 8th for Speed Late In A Run and 13th for Total Speed Rankings. I’ll note, over the final quarter of the race the #8 was the 7th fastest car on the track. Last fall, Reddick had a stellar showing and ran well throughout the race. In the race he finished 7th in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 6.3 average running position and then finished 6th when the checkered flag waved. Additionally, Reddick led 5 laps and had the 7th best Total Speed Ranking.
DraftKings $10,100 / FanDuel $12,500