Phoenix Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Ty Gibbs
Phoenix Fantasy Spin – At Phoenix, look for Ty Gibbs to be a low to mid-twenties driver. In 5 of the last 6 races heading into the weekend, he’s crossed the finish line between 20th to 22nd (technically 19th at Martinsville, but he crossed the finish line in 20th). That’s a trend I’ll believe in and look for him to continue.
Phoenix Track History – At Phoenix on the Cup level, Ty Gibbs has a blank resume. In the Xfinity series, Gibbs has run well. This spring he finished 6th, and last spring he finished 2nd.

Ty Dillon
Phoenix Fantasy Spin – Phoenix seems to be Ty Dillon’s track, and a strong case could be made that it’s his best. Keep in mind, we’re talking about Ty Dillon here, so expectations are low. On Sunday, I would view him as about a 20th place driver who has marginal upside.
Phoenix Track History – At Phoenix, Ty Dillon has a weird knack finishing in the mid-teens in the spring (three straight 15th’s, in 5 of the last 6 spring races he’s finished in either 15th or 16th), but in the fall his last three results are between 19th to 21st. That said, Phoenix might just be his best overall track and in 9 of his last 10 races he’s finished between 11th to 21st. I’m pretty certain you can’t say that about him anywhere else. Over his last five Phoenix starts, his average finish sits at 17.5. This spring, Dillon escaped with a 15th. In the race, Dillon had a 20.6 average running position, the 23rd best Total Speed Ranking and with 10 to go he was running in 18th. Last year, Dillon obviously didn’t race at Phoenix. Over his next five most recent races, Dillon finished between 15th to 21st and had an 18th place average finish. In 2020, Dillon finished 15th in the spring and then 21st in the fall. In 2019 he once again finished 15th in the spring, and then 20th in the fall.

Justin Haley
Phoenix Fantasy Spin – Justin Haley has been closing out 2022 strong (until the last two races), so let’s hope the good times continue this weekend. That said, shorter-flat tracks haven’t been a strength and in 2022 on this sub-track type his 17th here in the spring, was his best finish at these venues this season. On Sunday, I would view him as a high-teens to mid-twenties driver.
Phoenix Track History – Justin Haley has three starts on his resume at Phoenix on the Cup level, and over his combined races his average finish is 22.3. This spring in his current ride, Haley had his best Phoenix performance. In the race he finished 17th, had a 24th place average running position and had the 25th best Total Speed Ranking. Last year in his old ride, Haley had results of 24th and 26th.

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