Indianapolis Road Course Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Todd Gilliland
Indy Fantasy Spin – Todd Gilliland had a great race last year at Indy RC, but does lightning strike twice? I’m going to guess no since him finishing 4th is by no means the norm. I will note, Gilliland legitimately ran well as you’ll read below. Over Gilliland’s other road course starts minus Indy RC and Watkins Glen (problems), his average finish is 19th. In terms of Track Type Total Speed Rankings since 2022, Gilliland ranks 25th. On Sunday, I would view him as a high-teens to mid-twenties driver but note he does have upside for those looking to roll the dice.
Indy Track History – Last year at Indy RC, Todd Gilliland had a great race and finished 4th. I’ll note, Gilliland got bumped up in the running order by “late mass mayhem”, but it was a good afternoon for the #38. In the race, Gilliland was running in 10th with 7 to go before late mass mayhem ensued, had a 13.8 average running position and had the 14th best Total Speed Ranking.

Justin Haley
Indy Fantasy Spin – Justin Haley finished runner-up at Chicago, but I don’t think we’ll see him duplicate that performance at Indy and I think we’re more likely to see him finish around 20th. This year at the other two road courses visited, Haley has results of 19th (COTA) and 21st (Sonoma). In terms of Track Type Total Speed Rankings since 2022, Haley ranks 23rd.
Indy Track History –At Indy RC, Justin Haley has a 13.5 average finish, but don’t get fooled by that since it’s heavily skewed by a good 2021 result. Last year, Haley finished 19th, but that’s even better than he performed. In the race, Haley was running in 23rd with 7 to go before late mass mayhem ensued, had a 31.6 average running position and the 32nd best Total Speed Ranking. I’ll note, Haley did have an early spin, but that wasn’t really a game changer. In 2021, Haley was a big-time beneficiary of the mass chaos at the end. When the checkered flag waved, Haley finished 8th but take note he had a 22.4 average running position, the 25th best Total Speed Ranking and was running in 27th with 14 laps to go until the scheduled distance before late mass mayhem ensued.

Corey LaJoie
Indy Fantasy Spin – At Indy RC, Corey LaJoie is 2 for 2 at finishing in the teens, and he might just get another! I can’t say I like him on this track type but for the season at road courses over the three visited his average finish is 15th and he’s 3 for 3 at finishing between 11th to 20th. I’ll note over those combined events his Track Type Total Speed Ranking ranks 22nd.
Indy Track History – At Indy RC, Corey LaJoie is 2 for 2 at finishing in the teens with his average finish being 17th. Last year, LaJoie came home 18th. Additionally, LaJoie had a 22.5 average running position and the 29th best Total Speed Ranking. With 7 to go before late mayhem ensued, LaJoie was in 22nd. In 2021, LaJoie finished 16th. That said, LaJoie had a 25.4 average running position and the 31st best Total Speed Ranking. With 14 laps to go until the scheduled distance, LaJoie was back in 28th so he was certainly a beneficiary of the mass carnage.

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