Kansas Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

AJ Allmendinger
Kansas Fantasy Spin – AJ Allmendinger had a respectable performance this spring at Kansas and on Sunday, I would view him as a high-teens to low-twenties driver. This year at high-speed 1.5’s visited, Allmendinger’s 3 for 3 at finishing in the teens and has a 15.7 average finish. I’ll note, Michigan is as similar track and he recently finished 26th there. This year at high-speed 1.5’s + Michigan, Allmendinger is tied for having the 20th best Total Speed Ranking.
Kansas Track History – This spring at Kansas in his first race since 2018, AJ Allmendinger didn’t have a bad afternoon and finished 14th. Additionally, Allmendinger had a 19th place average running position, the 21st best Total Speed Ranking and ranked 14th for speed late in a run. Over the final run to close out the race, Allmendinger ran around the mid-teens. In 2018 when he next most recently raced here, Allmendinger had results of 16th and 21st.

Aric Almirola
Kansas Fantasy Spin – At Kansas, I think Aric Almirola has mid to high-teens potential, but I also wouldn’t be surprised if he comes home with a buzzkill 20’s finish. In 2023 at high-speed 1.5’s + Michigan minus Charlotte, Almirola is 3 for 3 at finishing between 13th to 16th, has a 15.0 average finish and an 18.2 average running position. When Michigan was recently visited, Almirola finished 16th.
Kansas Track History – Kansas hasn’t been too good for Aric Almirola in recent races and in 4 of the last 5, he’s finished in the 20’s. That said, Almirola had his best recent Kansas race this spring and finished 13th. Also from this spring, Almirola had the 16th best Total Speed Ranking and had a 19.2 average running position. To close out the race, Almirola was solid and had the 13th best Speed Ranking in segment #4. Last fall, Almirola started in the rear of the field due to an engine change and finished 21st. Additionally, Almirola had a 22.6 average running position and the 24th best Total Speed Ranking. Last spring, Almirola had a tough race and finished 26th after dropping a cylinder. In the race he started 7th but then during the Suarez caution around lap 62 while running in 9th, Almirola pitted before pit road was open which dropped him to the back. Then during the Stage #1 caution he was penalized for pitting before pit road was open again. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Almirola ranked 28th, but take note his speed over the segments were 8th, 32nd, 29th and 30th.

Corey LaJoie
Kansas Fantasy Spin – At Kansas, I would view Corey LaJoie as about a 20th place driver who has marginal upside. In 2 of the last 3 Kansas races, he’s had results of 19th and 20th. This year at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks plus Michigan, LaJoie has finished 20th or better every race and has an 18th place average finish. At Michigan, the most recent similar track visited, LaJoie legitimately finished 15th.
Kansas Track History – At Kansas since 2019 minus last fall where he crashed, Corey LaJoie has a 23.1 average finish and he’s 8 for 8 at finishing between 19th to 28th. This spring, LaJoie finished 20th and had a 22.2 average running position. Last fall, LaJoie had a short race and crashed on lap 115 which marked the end of his race and led to his 33rd. On the very lap of his demise, Lajoie was running in 17th. In spring 2022, LaJoie had his best Kansas result and finished 19th. Additionally, LaJoie had a 24.4 average running position and the 30th best Total Speed Ranking. Attrition certainly helped him. In the four Kansas races prior to that, LaJoie’s results were 25th, 27th, 23rd and then 21st.

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