Homestead Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Justin Haley
Homestead Fantasy Spin – Justin Haley has been somewhat sneaky good at high-speed 1.5’s in 2023 (16.2 average finish) and he looked pretty good last year at Homestead despite what you’ll see in the results column, so I think he’s realistically a mid to high-teens driver at Homestead, and of that range I would lean towards the higher end of the spectrum.
Homestead Track History – At Homestead, Justin Haley has a pair of buzz-kill results in the 20’s with his average finish being 27th. Last year Haley finished 28th but you can get out an asterisk mark for that since his race wasn’t incident free. On lap 134 around the mid-point while running in 17th, Haley made an unexpected pit stop which dropped him a few laps down. I’ll note, on lap 120, Haley was in 13th, so the #31 by no means was bad. Additionally, Haley had a 22.9 average running position, the 16th best Total Speed Ranking and ranked 19th for Speed Late In A Run. In 2021 in the #77, Haley finished 26th and had a 28.6 average running position.

Corey LaJoie
Homestead Fantasy Spin – At Homestead, I think Corey LaJoie is about a 20th place driver. LaJoie’s been quite bad here, but he had his best race last year (23rd) and he’s typically been around a 20th place driver at 1.5-mile intermediates this year. This year at high-wear intermediates, LaJoie ranks 25th in terms of Total Speed Rankings.
Homestead Track History – At Homestead, Corey LaJoie has a “close your eyes” bad track record and in 5 of his 6 races he’s finished 29th or worse. Last year, LaJoie had his best race and finished 23rd despite starting in the rear of the field. In the race, LaJoie had a 23.9 average running position and ranked 29th for Total Speed Rankings, Green Flag Speed and Speed Late In A Run. In 2021, LaJoie was running in 28th on lap 144, but then a few laps later his engine blew up which led to his 36th. In his four starts prior to that, LaJoie had results of 29th, 31st, 34th and 31st.

Ryan Preece
Homestead Fantasy Spin – This weekend at Homestead, I think Ryan Preece presents high-teens to low-twenties potential. The #41 team has been running better overall lately, and I think that finish range matches up with his recent level of performance, and his trend of finishing better in new races at Homestead.
Homestead Track History – At Homestead, Ryan Preece has finished better in each new race, so there’s that. In 2021 when he most recently raced here back in his #37 days, Preece finished 21st. In his two starts prior to that, Preece had a pair of mid-twenties finishes with results of 24th and 25th.

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