Atlanta Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Ryan Preece
Atlanta Bottom Line – Ryan Preece went 2 for 2 at finishing in the 20’s last year at Atlanta, but he was solid last summer, so don’t overlook him. Ford’s are fast at superspeedways and I think Preece clearly has a chance to have one of his better afternoons of the 2024 season.
Atlanta Track History – In 2023 at Atlanta, Preece went 2 for 2 at having problems and had a 26th place average finish. Last summer, the #41 looked sporty but Preece finished 24th. In the race, Preece finished 10th in Stage #2 and had a 14.3 average running position. That Stage #2 result is a great reference point in terms of performance because that led to a huge split in pit strategy, between those who pitted and those who stayed out hoping for rain. Preece pitted and that dropped him back to about 20th. Preece rallied back up to 10th on lap 177, but then on lap 179 him and Bubba Wallace spun, and the race never went back to green after that due to rain. In spring 2023, Preece struggled and finished 16 laps down in 28th. That said, you can quickly get out an asterisk mark for that result. Preece had electrical issues quite early, so there’s no real takeaways.

Don’t be a pretender, become a contender and get the ifantasyrace advantage to read all of our full exclusive content! Join Now!

Todd Gilliland
Atlanta Bottom Line – If you are having the burning desire to pick Todd Gilliland in 2024, you might as well do it at Atlanta. The Draft/ Attrition are great equalizers and over the last three races at this superspeedway he’s 3 for 3 at finishing between 15th to 17th.
Atlanta Track History – At Atlanta over the last three races, Todd Gilliland has a 16th place average finish which by his standards is off the charts good. Last summer, Gilliland finished 16th and had a 14.7 average running position. In the two races prior to that, Gilliland had results of 15th and 17th.

Noah Gragson
Atlanta Bottom Line – Noah Gragson has competed in all four races at Atlanta and in 3 of the 4 he’s finished 33rd or worse, so pick him at your own risk. I will note, Gragson did finish 12th last spring which marked one of his best 2023 results, so he does have slightly boosted potential via the draft/attrition being great equalizers. I’ll also note, the #10 was strong in both 2023 Atlanta races, with Almirola leading the most laps last summer (46 laps, finished 18th), and then him having a flat tire and crashing while leading in the spring.
Atlanta Track History – As you read above, Atlanta hasn’t been pretty for Noah Gragson and in 3 of the 4 races he’s finished 33rd or worse. Last summer, Gragson crashed and finished 33rd. In spring 2023, Gragson had one of his best “paved” afternoons of the year and finished 12th. I would say that finish is legit, since he hovered around the low double-digits to mid-teens from the final caution until the conclusion. In 2022, Noah Gragson went 2 for 2 at getting DNF’s with finishes of 34th and 37th.

Make sure you read the full spectrum of our Atlanta Fantasy NASCAR Rankings

Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier