Las Vegas Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Las Vegas Fantasy Outlook – Close your eyes when you look at Ricky Stenhouse Jr’s Las Vegas results because in the Next Gen, he’s 4 for 4 at finishing between 21st to 25th and has a 23.3 finish. When you go further back over the last seven races, he’s finished 17th or worse in six of them. In 2023 at high-speed 1.5’s, Stenhouse had the 23rd best Speed Ranking. At Las Vegas, I think Stenhouse is a high-teens and worse driver.
Las Vegas Track History – At Las Vegas, I don’t have much optimism in Ricky Stenhouse Jr since he’s been pretty bad in many of the recent races as you just read. Last fall, Stenhouse finished 25th, had a 23.8 average running position and had the 24th best Speed Ranking. In spring 2023, he wasn’t much better and finished a clunker 24th. In fall 2022, Stenhouse never looked great and finished 23rd, had a 26.5 average running position and had the 28th best Total Speed Ranking. In spring 2022, Stenhouse was sporty but finished an asterisk mark 21st. With 4 laps to go until the scheduled distance he was running in 8th, but then during the Green-White-Checker caution he was busted speeding on pit road.

Harrison Burton
Las Vegas Fantasy Outlook – In 2024, Harrison Burton will need a bump in performance if he’s going to be driving the #21 in 2025. Realistically, I think Burton’s likely primed for a finish around 20th, if he can avoid problems. At Las Vegas since 2022, he’s 4 for 4 at finishing between 16th to 26th, has a 22.0 average finish, a 24.9 average running position and his Speed Ranking ranks 27th. In 2023 at high-speed 1.5’s, Burton ranked 28th in terms of Total Speed Rankings.
Las Vegas Track History – At Las Vegas, Harrison Burton is 4 for 4 at finishing between 16th to 26th and has a 22.0 average finish. Last fall, Burton was mediocre and finished 20th. Additionally, Burton had a 26.3 average running position and the 30th best Speed Ranking. In the three races prior to that, Burton had results of 26th, 26th and 16th.

Chase Briscoe
Las Vegas Fantasy Outlook – At Las Vegas, Chase Briscoe unloaded with “Tractor Speed” in both 2023 races, so picking him heading into the weekend is an act of faith that SHR has found intermediate track speed over the off-season. Last year at high-speed 1.5’s, Briscoe ranked 27th for the season in terms of Total Speed Rankings.
Las Vegas Track History – At Las Vegas, times have been rough for Chase Briscoe in the Next Gen and in 3 of the 4 races he’s finished 28th or worse. In 2023, the #14 was flagrantly uncompetitive, with Briscoe having results of 28th and 33rd, and Speed Rankings of 30th and 31st. Last fall, Briscoe was quite bad and finished 33rd, but I’ll note he did run better than his result. On lap 208 while running in 25th, Briscoe got into the wall, spun and then brought out the caution. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Briscoe ranked 31st, but I’ll note he did rank 27th in the segment prior to his problem. In spring 2023, Briscoe was super bad and finished 28th. That’s not misleading, he was literally that bad. In the race, Briscoe had a 26.4 average running position and the 30th best Total Speed Ranking. In fall 2022, Briscoe had an up and down race but when the checkered flag waved, Briscoe finished 4th. In the race, Briscoe started 16th, was back in 28th on lap 31 thinking he was down a cylinder and got lapped under green in Stage #1, but he legitimately rebounded in a big way. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Briscoe ranked 19th but take note his speed over the segments were 26th, 23rd, 16th and then 4th. In spring 2022, Briscoe finished 8th in Stage #1, was running in 17th on lap 131 but then the next lap he spun, didn’t appear to get any damage but he then took his car to the garage which marked the end of his race leading to his 35th.

Make sure you read the full spectrum of our Las Vegas Fantasy NASCAR Rankings

Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > Low Tier