Iowa Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions / The Low Tier

Erik Jones
Iowa Fantasy Outlook – Erik Jones is a 3-time Iowa winner between Trucks and the Xfinity series but against Cup competition in the #43, he’s likely poised for a 20’s afternoon. This year at shorter-flat tracks, Jones has the 28th best Track Type Total Speed Ranking and a 23.7 average finish. I will note, Jones did have his best race of the three at Richmond (Finished 14th) and I view that track to have the most correlation.
Iowa Track History – Erik Jones has had success at Iowa. Jones won here in 2016 #2 in his most recent Xfinity race and over his combined Xfinity starts minus 2016 #1 where he had problems (27th) his average finish is 3.6. In the Truck series, Jones is a 2-time winner, having won in 2015 and 2014.

Austin Dillon
Iowa Fantasy Outlook – Austin Dillon recently finished 6th at Gateway but I wouldn’t get suckered into picking him. He should be viewed as having upside after that, but I think it’s a lot wiser to view him as a 20’s performer. This year in terms of “Total Speed Rankings” at conventional tracks, Dillon ranks 30th.
Iowa Track History – In the Xfinity series at Iowa, Austin Dillon has a 10.3 average finish over his six starts. Back in 2013 when he most recently competed, Dillon had results of 2nd and 4th. In the Truck series, Dillon won at Iowa way back in 2010.

Daniel Suarez
Iowa Fantasy Outlook – With Daniel Suarez’s weekly level of performance in 2024, I think it’s best to brace for the worst and view him as a high-teens to low-twenties driver if he avoids trouble. In terms of “Conventional Track Total Speed Rankings” this year, Suarez ranks 28th. This year at shorter-flat tracks, Suarez has a 19.3 average finish, a 20.2 average running position and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking ranks 25th.
Iowa Track History – Daniel Suarez has four Xfinity series starts on his resume at Iowa. Over his starts minus an engine failure his average finish is 9.3.

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