New Hampshire Fantasy NASCAR Front Runner Rankings

Alex Bowman
New Hampshire Fantasy Outlook – At New Hampshire, look for Alex Bowman to have a solid showing and most likely be a high single-digit to mid-teens driver. I’m basing that finish range off the fact that in 6 of the last 7 New Hampshire races he’s finished between 9th to 15th. Also, with the #48’s weekly level of performance, it’s safe to have those expectations heading into the weekend. This year at shorter-flat tracks, Bowman’s had some rough races and so far his best finish is 17th.
New Hampshire Track History – As you just read, Alex Bowman has been solid at New Hampshire and in 6 of the last 7 races he’s finished between 9th to 15th. Over that stretch minus 2022 where he was caught up in an early accident, Bowman’s average finish is 12.6. Last year, Bowman had a solid showing. In the race, Bowman finished 14th and had the 18th best Total Speed Ranking. I’ll note, Bowman was involved in a late accident on lap 281 while running around the mid-teens, but he never lost track position and it didn’t seem to really impact him. In 2022, I have no takeaways for his afternoon. In the race, Bowman qualified 27th and then on lap 30 he was caught up in an early accident back in the pack which marked the end of his race and led to his 35th. In the four New Hampshire races prior to that, Bowman had a 12.3 average finish with results of 9th, 15th, 14th and 11th.

General Content Note: I do view Iowa as a shorter-flat track but I’m not going to view it as a relevant in terms of “Shorter-flat tracks” for New Hampshire content yet, so it’s omitted from that form of stat.

Josh Berry
New Hampshire Fantasy Outlook – Josh Berry is a strong shorter-flat track performer so if you’re looking for a dark horse, consider him. This year at shorter-flat tracks, Berry has the 14th best Total Speed Ranking and over the last two races he’s ranked in the top ten in terms of speed (7th at Richmond, 9th at Gateway). Also, over the last two races on this sub-track type, Berry finished 11th at Richmond and at Gateway he looked top ten sporty until he lost his brakes and got into the wall which marked the end of his race.
New Hampshire Track History – Josh Berry has never competed at New Hampshire on the Cup level. In the Xfinity series, his track record isn’t anything to brag about with his results being 17th (2023), 33rd (2022) and then 8th (2021).

Kyle Busch
New Hampshire Fantasy Outlook – Kyle Busch is an elite performer at New Hampshire, but “The Magic Mile” has had his number over the last few years, with Busch finishing 36th or worse in 3 of the last 4 races and having four straight asterisk mark results. That said, Busch is a 3-time winner who’s finished in the top five 34% of the time and in the top ten 50% of the time and he hasn’t lacked when it comes to “Performance” in recent races despite what you’ll see in the results column. Gateway is a similar track and a few weeks ago at that venue, Busch had the 8th best Total Speed Ranking and was a top ten performer before he decided to play bumper cars which led to his demise.
New Hampshire Track History – Kyle Busch is a three-time winner at New Hampshire, but things haven’t been so great for him in the results column recently. Last year, Busch started in the rear of the field and then on lap 70 when he was back in 27th, Busch got into the wall hard and then radioed his team that he killed his car. That marked the end of his race and led to his 36th place finish. In 2022, Busch spun twice but rebounded to finish 12th. In the race, Busch spun for the first time while running in 18th during the restart for Stage #2, and then his second spin was later in that Stage on lap 163 while he was in 13th. I’ll note that second spin did help him get out of sync pit strategy wise which had him running in the top ten for much of the race from the final caution until the conclusion. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Busch ranked 18th. In 2021, Busch started on the pole but then he crashed early in the rain which led to his 37th. In 2020, I also have no takeaways. In that event on lap 16 while running in 6th, Busch had a flat tire and pounded the wall which led to his last place finish. In the three New Hampshire races prior to that which were incident free for him, Busch had a 3.7 average finish, a 4.0 average running position and averaged leading 113.7 laps per race. His results over that stretch were 8th, 2nd and 1st.

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