Nashville Ally 400 Fantasy NASCAR Top Tier Elite Picks
Kyle Larson
Nashville Fantasy Outlook – Kyle Larson was the inaugural Nashville winner and on Sunday, look for the #5 to be fast and for Larson to be a factor. Larson has a knack for the track and over the combined races, Larson’s 3 for 3 at finishing in the top five, has the 2nd best average finish (3.3), he’s tied for the 2nd best average running position and his Driver Rating ranks as the 2nd best. This year over the Dover + High-Speed 1.5-Mile Track Grouping, Larson has the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking, he’s been a factor to win every race and his average finish minus Texas where he literally lost a wheel while leading under caution is 1.3.
Nashville Track History – Kyle Larson has been one of the premiere performers at Nashville. Larson clobbered the competition en route to victory lane in Nashville #1 and his average finish over the three combined races is 3.3. In terms of Next Gen Speed Rankings over the last two, Larson ranks 7th. Last year, Larson had a strong showing and finished 5th. In the race, Larson earned the 7th best Driver Rating and had a 10.3 average running position. In terms of speed stats, Larson ranked 3rd for Speed Late In A Run and had the 7th best Total Speed Ranking. To highlight his speed ranking a little bit, take note that over the final quarter of the race, the #5 was the fastest car on the track. In 2022, Larson was solid and finished 4th. That said, Larson wasn’t as good as his result. In the race, Larson had a 9.8 average running position and had the 10th best Total Speed Ranking. With 10 laps to go before a late caution came out in which he stayed out and got track position, Larson was running in 11th, and staying out leap frogged him up to 4th with only 4 laps to go. In 2021, Larson had the field covered and put on a display of domination. In the race, Larson easily raced his way to victory lane, had a 1.4 average running position, earned a near perfect driver rating, led 264 laps and ran 133 fastest laps. In terms of speed stats, Larson ranked #1 for Total Speed Rankings, Green Flag Speed and Speed Late In A Run.
Chase Elliott
Nashville Fantasy Outlook – Chase Elliott will be a driver to be reckoned with at Nashville. “Music City” has been a great venue for Elliott with him winning in 2022 and being a top five contender “Performance Wise” every race. This year over the Dover + High-Speed 1.5-Mile Track Grouping that I like to look towards in terms of correlation, Elliott ranks 7th in terms of Total Speed Rankings and over the combined races his 5.6 average finish ranks as the best. Another attribute you also have to like about Elliott is the recent form of the #9. On Sunday, look for Elliott to be a top five contender who’ll be a factor to win.
Nashville Track History – Chase Elliott has been a super-elite performer at Nashville and ranks among the best. Last year when the #9 wasn’t as competitive as they are now, Elliott had a strong showing. In the race, Elliott started 14th, finished 6th in Stage #1, finished 7th in Stage #2, had a 6.7 average running position, earned the 5th best Driver Rating and then finished 4th overall. In terms of speed stats, Elliott ranked 5th for Total Speed Rankings and then 6th for Speed Late In A Run. In 2022, nobody was better than Elliott when it was closing time and he easily raced his way to victory lane. In the race, Elliott finished 8th in Stage #1, finished 4th in Stage #2, had a 7.2 average running position and led 42 laps. With 38 laps to go, Elliott took the lead for good and led the remainder of the race. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Elliott ranked 4th but take note in the 4th segment, the #9 was the fastest car on the track. In 2021, nobody had a more misleading result than Chase Elliott. In the results column he finished 39th, but that result is the product of a five loose lugnut’s disqualification. “Performance Wise”, Elliott was a top five contender, even though he technically crossed the finish line in 13th. In the race, Elliott had a 7.7 average running position, the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and the 10th best Green Flag Speed. Over the final run of the race, the #9 was slow which tanked him in some analytics. On lap 240 at the start of the final green flag run he was running in 4th, but he had to conserve fuel which made him slow. In terms of speed over segments, Elliott ranked 5th, 9th, 3rd and then 17th.
Christopher Bell
Nashville Fantasy Outlook – Christopher Bell has been elite at Nashville and on Sunday, look for him to be a top five contender. In “Music City”, Bell’s 3 for 3 at finishing in the top ten and over the combined races, Bell has an 8.0 average finish, the 7th best Average Running Position (10.7) and the 7th best Driver Rating. This year over the Dover + High-Speed 1.5-Mile Track Grouping, Bell’s had quite a bit of problems but over the last two races on that track subset he’s finished 1st (Charlotte) and 6th (Kansas). One attribute you have to like about Bell is his momentum. Bell’s fresh off a trip to victory lane and over the last five races his average finish is 4.4.
Nashville Track History – Christopher Bell has run well at Nashville. His average finish is 8.0 and he’s one of just three drivers who are 3 for 3 at finishing in the top ten. Bell’s also improved in each new race with his results being 9th, 8th and 7th, so hopefully that trend won’t end. Over the last two races in the Next Gen, Bell ranks 6th in terms of speed, having ranked 7th in Total Speed Rankings both races. Last year, Bell was solid. In the race, Bell started 22nd, finished 9th in Stage #1, finished 5th in Stage #2, had an 8.3 average running position and then finished 8th overall. In 2022, Bell ran well and finished 8th. Additionally, Bell had a 9.9 average running position, the 7th Best Total Speed Ranking and ranked 5th for Speed Late In A Run. In 2021, Bell started back in 25th but finished 9th overall. Additionally, Bell had the 11th best Total Speed Ranking and a 13.8 average running position.
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