Atlanta Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions / The Low Tier

Martin Truex Jr.
Atlanta Fantasy Outlook – At Atlanta, Martin Truex Jr. might have a solid showing if he can avoid his brutal bad luck. Truex has run well over all five NEW Atlanta races and in 3 of the 5, he’s finished in the top 12. If Truex can avoid trouble, expectations should be high, but the question is if he can because trouble hasn’t been far over the last few months. Since Darlington this spring, Truex has a 23.9 average finish.
Atlanta Track History – Martin Truex Jr. has run well at Atlanta. This spring, the #19 was fast and Truex ran well throughout. In the race, Truex finished 5th in Stage #1, finished 6th in Stage #2, had a 9.4 average running position, was in 4th with 10 to go but then slid back to finish 12th when the checkered flag waved. Last summer, Truex was a top ten contender but finished an asterisk mark 29th. In the race, Truex finished 3rd in Stage #1, was spun out on pit road during the Stage #1 caution, showed standout speed closing out Stage #2 running a high line by himself, finished around 11th in Stage #2 but then pitted during the Stage #2 caution and was mired back in traffic for the rest of the race, dooming him to a 29th. Additionally, Truex had the 7th best average running position (13.1) and earned the 10th best Driver Rating. In spring 2023, Truex had a good car and was better than his 19th. In the race, Truex finished 10th in Stage #1, finished 7th in Stage #2 but then in the last Stage for whatever reason he wasn’t as competitive and faded. Perhaps he was just trying to avoid trouble? I’ll also note, Truex had some sort of fuel issue since the #19 was burning more than the team anticipated and that was revealed in the last Stage. In summer 2022, Truex was a top five contender, but finished an asterisk mark 11th. In the race, Truex was spun out by Chastain while running in 3rd on lap 91, consistently ran in the top 5 over the final Stage, was in 2nd at the time of the final restart but then got shuffled out of line which had him free falling to his 11th place finish. Additionally, Truex led 27 laps. In spring 2022, Truex finished 8th.

Josh Berry
Atlanta Fantasy Outlook – Josh Berry will be a quality dark horse at Atlanta. Berry looked to be one of the best at Daytona a few weeks ago and this spring at Atlanta he was a top ten contender, so there’s certainly things to like about him.
Atlanta Track History – This spring at Atlanta, Josh Berry looked racy and was a legit top ten contender at the end, but he finished a misleading 29th. On lap 245, Berry was in 7th but then just 3 laps later while running in 8th he crashed which relegated him to his poor result.

Justin Haley
Atlanta Fantasy Outlook – Justin Haley can be a solid superspeedway racer who’ll have upside at Atlanta. Haley’s been pretty solid here and in 3 of the 5 Next Gen races, he’s finished in the top 11. Over the combined Atlanta Next Gen races, Haley has a 13.6 average finish.
Atlanta Track History – Justin Haley has been solid at Atlanta and in 3 of the 5 races, he’s finished between 7th to 11th. This spring, Haley finished 20th. On lap #2, Haley was caught up in the “Big One” but it didn’t seem to really impact him too much since he ran pretty well at times and was even in 8th with 40 to go. For the afternoon, Haley had a 19.1 average running position. Last summer in his old ride, Haley was solid. In the race, Haley finished 7th in Stage #2, finished 8th overall and had a 13th place average running position. To earn that good result, Haley had to charge hard at the end since he pitted during the Stage #2 caution. In spring 2023, Haley had an un-notable afternoon and when the checkered flag waved, he finished 22nd and had a 19th place average running position. In summer 2022, Haley finished 7th and had a 13.2 average running position. In spring 2022, Haley finished 11th and had a 15th place average running position.

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