Las Vegas South Point 400 Fantasy NASCAR Front Runner Rankings

Bubba Wallace
Las Vegas Fantasy Outlook – At Las Vegas, I would view Bubba Wallace as a risky top ten contender. Wallace has shown potential here but he’s been a letdown when it comes to the results column. This year at high-speed 1.5’s minus Las Vegas where he had major lugnut problems, Wallace has a 13.0 average finish and the 17th best Track Type Total Speed Ranking.
Las Vegas Track History – Bubba Wallace has had some strong runs at Las Vegas, but his resume is overall pretty ugly. Over his 13-starts, Wallace only has two top tens, just four top 20’s and his overall average finish is 23rd. This spring, Wallace finished 35th but you can chalk up that result to major lugnut problems. In the race, Wallace started 5th, finished around the high teens in Stage #1, was in 18th on lap 118 but then just shortly after that during green flag pit stops, Wallace had some sort of lugnut issue that dropped him 3-laps down, and he was toast after that. Wallace later had that issue again later in the race. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Wallace ranked 24th but take note his speed over the segments were 14th, 19th, 33rd and then 34th. Last fall, Wallace finished 13th, had a 14.2 average running position and the 14th best Driver Rating. In spring 2023, Wallace had a strong showing and finished 4th. Additionally, Wallace finished 8th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 7.8 average running position and had the 5th best Total Speed Ranking. In fall 2022, Wallace had a hot rod, as well as a lethal weapon. In the race, Wallace started 9th, led 29 laps, won Stage #1 but then early in Stage #2 while battling Kyle Larson for 5th following hard racing, Wallace got into the wall and then came down the track with the guidance of a cruise missile and destroyed the #5, and his own car. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Wallace ranked 3rd. In spring 2022, Wallace showed potential but finished an asterisk mark 25th. In the race, Wallace finished 10th in Stage #2, was running in 13th with 4 laps to go but then the next lap he spun himself out trying to avoid Erik Jones and ended up crashing which led to his 25th.

Carson Hocevar
Las Vegas Fantasy Outlook – At Las Vegas, look for Carson Hocevar to be a mid-teens performer who might just be a factor for a top ten. Hocevar ran great this spring and finished 15th despite that race not being incident free and he just recently had a strong showing at Kansas, where he looked top ten good before problems (10th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2). At Michigan the next most recent high-speed intermediate track visited, Hocevar finished 10th.
Las Vegas Track History – Carson Hocevar had a solid showing this spring at Las Vegas and finished 15th, despite his race not being incident free. In the race, Hocevar started 14th, finished about 14th in Stage #1 but then in Stage #2 on lap 152 while also running in 14th, Hocevar had a flat tire and made an unexpected pit stop. Almost just after that, a caution came out, so Hocevar was able to begin his bounce back immediately. In addition to finishing 15th, Hocevar earned the 12th best Driver Rating, had the 13th best Total Speed Ranking and had a 15.4 average running position. Last fall in a pre-rookie start in the #42, Hocevar finished 36th, but don’t read into that finish. On lap 111 while running around 21st, Hocevar had a flat tire and got into the wall hard.

Brad Keselowski
Las Vegas Fantasy Outlook – At Las Vegas, I would view Brad Keselowski as about a low double-digit to mid-teens driver who might have upside. Las Vegas has been a solid venue for him, and he’s been pretty good at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks this year. In 2024 on this sub-track type, Keselowski has the 14th best Track Type Total Speed Ranking and a 7.0 average finish minus Kansas #2 where he was just OK at best but had bad pit strategy late. One attribute I don’t like about him is his recent form. In the Playoffs minus Talladega, he’s 5 for 5 at finishing between 19th to 26th.
Las Vegas Track History – Las Vegas has been a good track for Brad Keselowski. He’s a 3-time winner and since 2013 he’s finished in the top seven 72% of the time. I’ll note in the #6, Keselowski only has one top ten and then in the four others he’s finished 13th or worse. In the Next Gen, Keselowski ranks 15th in terms of Total Speed Rankings. This spring, Keselowski was solid and finished 13th. That said, Keselowski had the 20th best Total Speed Ranking and a 21.9 average running position. Over the final green flag run, he was solid to close out. Last October, Keselowski started 21st, finished 3rd in Stage #1, finished 5th in Stage #2, led 38 laps, had a 6.8 average running position and then finished 4th overall. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Keselowski ranked 4th. In spring 2023, Keselowski finished 17th but he performed better than his result. In the race, Keselowski finished 10th in Stage #1, finished 9th in Stage #2, had a 10.7 average running position, the 11th best Total Speed Ranking but for whatever reason he just wasn’t at his best to close out the race. In 2022, Keselowski finished 17th in the fall and then 34th in the spring (crashed).

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