Las Vegas South Point 400 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings / Post Practice Predictions

On Sunday, NASCAR will be returning to Las Vegas for the South Point 400 to begin the Playoff Round of #8. Many of the drivers feel the “Real Playoffs” start at Las Vegas, so look for the top teams to bring their A-game and the best of the best to shine. Las Vegas is a high-speed 1.5-mile track with variable banking and moderate tire wear. Here’s a look at who’s been showing up with speed at these venues in 2024 (High-Speed 1.5-Mile Track Total Speed Rankings).

On Saturday, practice was held for Las Vegas. Teams only had 20 minutes, and keep in mind teams have different agendas. Make sure you check out our Las Vegas Practice Notes and Las Vegas 10,15,20,25 and 30 Lap Average Speed Cheat Sheet.

Here’s a look at Las Vegas Group Practice Speed Rankings.

Here’s Las Vegas Qualifying Results/ Starting Lineup.

Las Vegas Full Field Fantasy Rankings

1) Kyle Larson
Start 5th / Projected Finish Range1-6 / Dominator Potential – High
Las Vegas Fantasy Spin – Kyle Larson is the premiere performer at Las Vegas and on Sunday in the South Point Casino 400, the road to victory lane likely goes thru him. Larson has dominated at this venue having back-to-back wins and in the Next Gen minus fall 2022, Larson’s average finish is 1.5. This year at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks, Larson’s 2 for 2 at reaching victory lane in his incident free races and “Performance Wise” he should likely be 3 for 4 in the win column. In practice, Larson was fast and was tied for having the best 15-lap average.
Las Vegas Track Record Breakdown –Kyle Larson is the premiere performer at Las Vegas. Larson’s a 3-time winner and in the Next Gen, Larson has the best Total Speed Ranking and a 1.5 average finish minus fall 2022. Going back to 2017 minus fall 2022, Larson’s average finish is 4.4. This spring, Larson put on a display of domination. In the race, Larson won Stage #1, won Stage #2, led 181 laps, earned a near perfect driver rating, had a 1.7 average running position and of course finished 1st. In terms of speed stats, Larson had the best Total Speed Ranking. Last fall, Larson once again smoked the field and raced his way to victory lane. In the race, Larson won Stage #1, won Stage #2, won the race, led 133 laps and earned a near perfect Driver Rating. In terms of speed stats, Larson had the best Green Flag Speed, the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking and ranked 4th for Speed Late In A Run. In spring 2023, Larson should’ve won but a late caution denied him certain victory. In the race, Larson finished 2nd in the two opening Stages, led 63 laps, had a 2.2 average running position and ranked 2nd for Total Speed Rankings and Green Flag Speed.
DraftKings $11,500/ FanDuel $14,000

Further Recommended Reading = Las Vegas Quick Rankings, Las Vegas Projected Finish Ranges, DraftKings Las Vegas Scoring Projections, FanDuel Las Vegas Scoring Projections

2) Tyler Reddick
Start 2nd / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Las Vegas Fantasy Spin – Tyler Reddick had a hot rod this spring at Las Vegas and finished runner-up and on Sunday, look for him to be a factor once again. Over the last six Las Vegas races, Reddick’s 7.3 average finish ranks as the 2nd best and he’s only once finished lower than 8th. This year at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks, Reddick has the 5th best Track Type Total Speed Ranking and minus Kansas which has just had his number for whatever reason this season his average finish is 3.3. In practice, Reddick had the best 10-lap average in Group B. On Sunday, Reddick will start 2nd, the last three Las Vegas races have been won from this starting position.
Las Vegas Track Record Breakdown – Tyler Reddick has been elite at Las Vegas. Reddick finished runner-up this spring and in 5 of the last 6 races he’s finished in the top 8. In the Next Gen, Reddick has a 7.6 average finish. This spring, the #45 was a stopwatch standout. In the race, Reddick started 18th, finished 2nd in Stage #1, finished 2nd in Stage #2 and then finished 2nd overall. In terms of speed stats, Reddick was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total speed Ranking. I’ll note, during the Stage #1 caution, Reddick had a slow pit stop that dropped him from 2nd back to 16th. Last fall, Reddick finished 4th in Stage #1, finished 9th in Stage #2, had a 9.5 average running position, had the 9th best Driver Rating and then finished 8th. In terms of speed stats, Reddick ranked 10th for Total Speed Rankings. Last spring, Reddick started in the rear of the field and came home 15th. Over the three races prior to that, Reddick had results of 6th, 7th and 6th.
DraftKings $10,000/ FanDuel $12,500

3) Christopher Bell
Start 1st / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Las Vegas Fantasy Spin – At Las Vegas, look for Christopher Bell to be a top five contender who’ll be a factor to win. Bell finished runner-up last fall, and he’s had a ton of speed at “Sin City”, having the best Total Speed Ranking over the last two October races. In the Next Gen minus this spring and fall 2022, Bell’s average finish is 5.7. This year at high-speed 1.5’s, Bell won at Charlotte and over the last three races, Bell has the best average finish (4.7), the best Driver Rating and the best Track Type Total Speed Ranking. Another attribute you also have to like about Bell is that he’s hot and since Indy minus Michigan his average finish is 5.4. In practice, Bell wasn’t a stopwatch standout, but he was happy with how the #20 ran and said it was super comfortable.
Las Vegas Track Record Breakdown – Christopher Bell has performed at an elite level at Las Vegas, so make sure he’s high on your radar. This spring, Bell likely had one of the best cars, but multiple problems led to him finishing 33rd. In the race, Bell had a flat/shredded tire on lap 10, but he still rebounded to finish 10th in Stage #1. Later in Stage #2 while he was running around 14th, he spun and brought out another caution which doomed him to his 33rd. In 2023, Bell swept the top five with his average finish being 3.5. Last fall, Bell was a standout performer. In the race, Bell won the pole, led 61 laps, had a 2.6 average running position, finished 2nd in Stage #1, finished 3rd in Stage #2 and then finished 2nd when the checkered flag waved. If the race were a few laps longer, he probably would’ve won. In terms of speed stats, Bell had the best Speed Ranking and ranked #1 for Speed Late In A Run. Last spring, Bell finished 5th but I’ll note he was in 13th with 4 to go before the late caution, so he definitely benefitted from that. In the race, Bell had an 8.1 average running position and ranked 7th for Total Speed Rankings. I’ll note, Bell finished 4th in Stage #1, finished 5th in Stage #2 and then in the final Stage he had a vibration which dropped him back.
DraftKings $10,300/ FanDuel $13,000