Las Vegas Pennzoil 400 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings / Post Practice Predictions
On Sunday, NASCAR will be racing at Las Vegas for the Pennzoil 400. In some ways, the real 2025 season will finally be getting kicked off. Las Vegas is a high-speed 1.5-mile track with variable banking and moderate tire wear. There’s no superspeedway madness, reconfiguration wildness or goofy tire rules to worry about.
On Saturday, practice was held for Las Vegas. Teams had 25 minutes, and keep in mind teams have different agenda’s. Make sure you check out our Las Vegas Practice Notes, Las Vegas Practice Speeds and 10-Lap Averages and Las Vegas 10,15,20,25 and 30 Lap Average Speed Cheat Sheet.
Here’s Las Vegas Qualifying Results/ Starting Lineup.
Las Vegas Full Field Fantasy Rankings
1) Kyle Larson
Start 10th / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Las Vegas Outlook – Kyle Larson is a super-elite performer at Las Vegas and in the Pennzoil 400, the road to victory lane likely goes thru him. Larson has won 2 of the last 3 Vegas races and in the Next Gen minus last fall and fall 2022, he’s finished in the top 2 every race and has a 1.5-average finish. Going back to 2017 minus fall 2022, Larson has a 4.9 average finish. Last fall, Larson looked pretty good, but his afternoon was anything but incident free and he finished an asterisk mark 11th. In the race, Larson started 5th, damaged his nose at some point in Stage #1, finished 10th in Stage #1, pitted twice during the Stage #1 caution, then in Stage #2 under green, Larson made a lengthy pit stop and then the following lap, he pitted again, which now had him two laps down, which makes his 11th pretty remarkable. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Larson ranked 6th. Last spring, Larson had the field covered and put on a display of domination. In the race, Larson won the two Opening Stages, led 181 laps, earned a near perfect driver rating, had a 1.7 average running position and of course finished 1st. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Larson ranked #1. In fall 2023, Larson smoked the field and raced his way to victory lane in dominant fashion, winning the two Opening Stages, leading 133 laps and earning a near perfect driver rating. In terms of speed stats, Larson had the best Green Flag Speed, the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking and ranked 4th for Speed Late In A Run. In spring 2023, Larson should’ve won but a late caution robbed him of certain victory and led to a 2nd. In the race, Larson led 63 laps, had a 2.2 average running position and ranked 2nd for Total Speed Rankings. Last year at high-speed 1.5’s, Larson won twice but “Performance Wise”, he might’ve just been good enough to win them all, but he had a lot of problems along the way. In practice, Larson was fast, felt comfortable with his car and said he was close.
DraftKings $10,500/ FanDuel $14,000
2) William Byron
Start 8th / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Las Vegas Outlook – Look for Willliam Byron to be a contender at Las Vegas. Byron’s been a Las Vegas Next Gen standout and in 2024 at high-speed 1.5’s, Byron had the best Track Type Total Speed Ranking, the 2nd best average running position and the 3rd best Driver Rating. At Vegas in the Next Gen, Byron has the 2nd best average finish (6.7), the 2nd best Next Gen Speed Ranking and the 2nd best Driver Rating. Last fall, the #24 was fast. In the race, Byron finished 4th in Stage #1, finished 3rd in Stage #2, earned the 2nd best Driver Rating, had the 2nd best Average Running Position (6.6) and then finished 4th overall. I’ll note, if fuel saving wasn’t a thing, he likely would’ve finished 2nd. In terms of speed stats, Byron ranked 3rd for Total Speed Rankings and 4th for Speed Late In A Run. Last spring, Byron finished 10th but he likely had one of the best cars. In the race, Byron led 15 laps but then just after the midpoint in Stage #1, Byron had a trash bag on his grille which led to an unexpected pit stop which put him behind for pretty much so the rest of the afternoon. In terms of speed stats, Byron ranked 3rd for Speed Late In A Run and had the 8th best Total Speed Ranking. In 2023, Byron had results of 4th and 1st. In practice, Byron was a stopwatch standout, ranking 2nd for 10,15 and 20-lap averages.
DraftKings $10,000/ FanDuel $12,500
Further Recommended Reading = Las Vegas Quick Rankings, Las Vegas Finish Projections, DraftKings Las Vegas Scoring Projections, FanDuel Las Vegas Scoring Projections
3) Tyler Reddick
Start 14th / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Las Vegas Outlook – Tyler Reddick will be tough to beat at Las Vegas. Reddick looked great last fall (Won Stage #1, crashed early in Stage #2), he finished runner-up last spring and in 5 of the last 7 races he’s finished in the top 8. In the Next Gen at Vegas, Reddick ranks 3rd in terms of Speed and his average finish minus last fall is 7.6. Last fall, Reddick had a rocket. In the race, Reddick started 2nd, won Stage #1, led 9 laps but then early in Stage #2 he was collected in the “Big One”, leading to his 35th. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Reddick ranked 2nd. Last spring, Reddick started 18th, finished 2nd in Stage #1, finished 2nd in Stage #2 and then finished 2nd overall. In terms of speed stats, Reddick was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total speed Ranking. In 2024 at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks, Reddick was tied for having the 3rd best Track Type Total Speed Ranking and for the season minus Kansas (1 & 2) and Las Vegas #2 his average finish was 3.3. In practice, the #45 was one of the fastest.
DraftKings $10,200/ FanDuel $13,000
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