Bristol Food City 500 Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

AJ Allmendinger – AJ Allmendinger enters Bristol with dark horse / sleeper potential. Bristol is a “skill” track and he’s capable of sneaking in good results at these venues. At Bristol his average finish is 24.8, but he’s been performing better than that recently. In four of his last five Bristol races he’s finished between 12th and 17th. Also over that stretch he has a 16.2 average finish and a 16.4 average running position. Last August at Bristol he performed well throughout the event. He started in 22nd, had a 14th place average running position, finished 14th and earned the 13th best driver rating. At the end it looked like he would challenge for a top ten but he lost a few positions during his final pit stop and never advanced in the running order. In spring 2014 at Bristol he finished 25th but he performed better than his result. What happened is that while he was running in the low teens just after the midpoint he pitted under green and then the caution came out. That trapped him three laps down and he could never recover from it. To give you a better idea about his level of performance here’s his Yahoo Race Chart. In spring 2013 when he drove the #51 car he finished 13th, had a 19th place average running position and earned the 19th best driver rating. His next most recent Bristol race was in spring 2012. In that race he qualified 2nd, led 54 laps and finished 17th. In August 2011 he had his best result and finished 12th.

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Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – Ricky Stenhouse Jr. is a driver who’s hard to trust, but perhaps you can let him off the leash a little bit at Bristol. It’s hard to believe but he actually has the best average finish in the series here. His average result stands at 10.5. In 2014 he had a great year. For the season he scored the 2nd most points, had a 4.0 average finish and earned the 10th best driver rating. He was also just one of two drivers who swept the top ten in 2014. Last August at Bristol he ran between the high-teens and low-twenties for the first 350 laps and over the final 150 laps he started to make his move towards the front. Over the final 75 laps he moved up from about 14th to his eventual 6th place finish position. In spring 2014 he had his best Sprint Cup result and finished 2nd. Also in that race he started in 21st, had a 10th place average running position and earned the 9th best driver rating. In 2013 he didn’t fare as well and had results of 16th and 18th. (Yahoo B Driver)

Further Recommended Reading – Top Tier Elite Picks, Front Runner Rankings, Bristol Scouting Report, Who will win at Bristol

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Austin Dillon – It’s hard to tell how good Austin Dillon was last August at Bristol. In that event he started in 26th and before lap 9 he had problems off turn 2 which dropped him back to 39th. What exactly happened to him was never shown on TV but I’ll speculate he got into the wall because after that he was never competitive. When the checkered flag waved he finished 28th, had a 32nd place average running position and earned the 39th best driver rating. In spring 2014 he had one of his better finishes of the season and finished 11th. It should be noted however that he really wasn’t that good. He started in 26th, had a 22nd place average running position, earned the 23rd best driver rating and only ran 10.7% percent of the laps in the top fifteen. One positive aspect heading into Bristol is that one of his key attributes so far in his career is avoiding trouble and taking care of his equipment. In 2013 in the lower series he had results of 3rd and 11th. In 2012 in the Xfinity Series he had results of 4th and 12th.

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