Kansas Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

AJ Allmendinger – AJ Allmendinger has had some recent success at Kansas. In 3 of the last 4 races he’s finished between 8th and 14th. This spring he started deep in the field in 29th but raced his way up to an 8th place finish. Performance wise he was mid-teens good but he was able to use pit strategy and hold on for a good finish at the end. Last fall he didn’t run well. He started 27th and finished 27th. I will note he was likely slightly better than his result. Through the first 100 laps he looked low to mid-twenties good. On lap 107 while he was racing side by side with Trevor Bayne he got into the wall and then slowed on the track. At the time of that incident he was running in 24th. For the remainder of the race he ran between 27th and 34th. In spring 2015 he started in 29th but escaped with a 14th place finish. That result is slightly misleading because he was a beneficiary of the late caution. If the late yellow didn’t come out he would’ve finished 20th. Also from the race it should be noted he had a 22nd place average running position and earned the 20th best driver rating. In fall 2014 he finished 11th and had a 15th place average running position. In recent races at high-speed intermediate tracks he’s typically finished around the mid to high-teens. (Yahoo B Driver)

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Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has finished in the teens in 3 of the last 4 Kansas races. Currently he has back to back 13th place results. I will note in both of those races he had some semblance of momentum entering the weekend, right now he has none. Over the second half of the season he’s had some terrible performances at high-speed intermediate tracks which is troubling. This spring Stennhouse Jr. ran well. He earned the 12th best driver rating, finished 13th and had a 13th place average running position. Last fall he also finished 13th. From that event it should be noted he earned the 16th best driver rating and had a 17th place average running position. In spring 2015 he finished right where he should’ve. He finished 24th and throughout the event he ran around the low-twenties. In fall 2014 he finished 19th. From a performance perspective I think I’ll write Stenhouse Jr. in for a low-twenties finish at Kansas on Sunday. (Yahoo B Driver)

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Paul Menard – At Kansas I think Paul Menard is likely a high-teens driver. In 3 of the last 5 Kansas races he’s finished between 17th and 19th. This spring at Kansas it looked like he would finish around that range again but his race wasn’t incident free. On lap 103 while he was running in 20th he got into the wall and brought out the caution. After that he never ran as well. That wasn’t the last of his problems. On lap 135 he had engine issues and took his car to the garage which led to his last place finish. Last fall he crossed the finish line in 19th. Additionally in that race he earned the 19th best driver rating and had an 18th place average running position. In spring 2015 he had a good car and came home with a misleading result. During the final round of pit stops while he was running in 5th he was penalized for having an uncontrolled tire. If that caution didn’t happen he would’ve finished very well. In 4 of the 5 Kansas races prior to that he finished in the top ten. It should be noted in those events his team was more competitive then they are currently. This year at high-speed intermediate tracks I think the #27 team has typically been high-teens to low-twenties good. (Yahoo B Driver)

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