1) Kevin Harvick (Starting – 11th)
Kansas Fantasy Spin – Kevin Harvick will be tough to beat at Kansas. His back is against the wall and he’ll be ultra-motivated to go all out for the win. He’s a clutch performer and he’s always stepped up to the plate when needed in a big way. Kansas is the perfect track for him to be in this situation. He’s an elite performer and has arguably been the strongest driver in recent seasons. When you combine all of those factors with how strong he’s been at 1.5 mile tracks this year then it’s clear he’s poised for a very good afternoon. In Happy Hour Harvick was quick over long runs and had the best ten lap average.
Kansas Track History – Kansas is a great track for Kevin Harvick. In 4 of the last 6 races he’s finished in the top 2. Over this six race stretch he has the best driver rating, best average finish (5.8), best average running position (5.7) and has led the most laps (392). This spring Harvick had a strong showing. He finished 2nd, earned the 3rd best driver rating and had a 6th place average running position. In fall 2015 he was top five good but finished a misleading 16th. Late in that race he got a pit penalty and also had shifter problems. In spring 2015 he finished 2nd but it should be noted that if a late caution didn’t come out he likely would’ve won. In the race he earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 4th place average running position and led 53 laps. In fall 2014 he was top five good but finished 12th. Performance wise he looked like a lock to finish in the top three but with 53 laps to go while he was running in 3rd he made an unexpected pit stop because of a flat tire. Even with his unexpected pit stop he earned the 3rd best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and led 61 laps. In the two races prior to that he finished 1st and 2nd.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $10,900
2) Matt Kenseth (Starting – 1st)
Kansas Fantasy Spin – On Sunday Matt Kenseth will start on the pole. The last time he started on the pole at Kansas he raced his way to victory lane. It’s hard not to like Kenseth at Kansas. It’s a great track for him and since the reconfiguration he’s arguably been the best driver. Another factor you have to like about him is how well he’s run in the Chase. He’s finished in the top ten every race and currently has three straight top five results. His overall average finish in the Chase is a series best 4.5. Last week at Charlotte he finished runner-up. Since so many drivers had at trouble at Charlotte I would lean towards Kenseth doing some points racing at Kansas. In Happy Hour he was quick over short runs and long runs.
Kansas Track History – Matt Kenseth has been one of the strongest performers at Kansas. On the current configuration he has two wins, has finished in the top six 50% percent of the time and in the top 14 every race. Over the combined events he has the 2nd best driver rating, a 7.5 average finish and has led the most laps (420). Recently at Kansas he’s typically been top 6 good. This spring he ran well and was a consistent front runner. He finished 4th, had a 4th place average running position and earned the 4th best driver rating. Last fall he had a fast car and could’ve potentially raced his way to victory lane but finished 14th after getting spun late while leading. At worst he was 2nd place good. Additionally from the race it should be noted he earned the best driver rating, had a 3rd place average running position and led 153 laps. In spring 2015 he overcame an early spin to finish 6th. In the first two races on the current Kansas layout he raced his way to victory lane.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $8,700
Further Recommended Reading : Kansas Post Practice Predictions, Practice Notes / Practice Speeds Center, Speed Cheat Sheet, Qualifying Results, PROS Rankings, Asterisk Mark Report, DraftKings Start Page, Yahoo Start Page
3) Kyle Busch (Starting – 2nd)
Kansas Fantasy Spin – Look for Kyle Busch to run well at Kansas. It was a trouble spot on the schedule for him for a long-time but you can’t say that anymore. At Kansas he’s the most recent winner and currently has three straight top five results. One attribute you have to like about Kyle Busch is his momentum. In the Chase he’s finished in the top ten every race, has scored the 2nd most points and has a 4.8 average finish. In the two Chase races held at 1.5 mile tracks, Kyle Busch has results of 6th and 8th. On Sunday he’s starting in 2nd. Look for him to run up front all afternoon and come home with a good finish.
Kansas Track History – Kyle Busch has been a strong performer in his recent races at Kansas. Over his last three races he has a 3.0 average finish and a 6.0 average running position. This spring he had a strong car and raced his way to victory lane. It should be noted however that if Martin Truex Jr. didn’t pit twice late Kyle Busch likely wouldn’t have won. From the race it should be noted he earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 4th place average running position and led 69 laps. Last fall he had another strong showing. In that race he finished 5th, earned the 7th best driver rating and had an 8th place average running position. In spring 2015 he missed the race due to injury. In fall 2014 he overcame a speeding penalty to finish 3rd.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $10,000