Texas Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions
Aric Almirola – This year at intermediate tracks Aric Almirola didn’t run well in the first race of the season, but in the two most recent he’s performed better. At Atlanta he was really bad and finished 27th. In the two most recent races on this track type he’s come home with results of 14th (Las Vegas) and 19th (Auto Club). I will note between the three intermediate tracks visited I view Las Vegas as having the highest level of correlation. In recent weeks Almirola has established himself as a teens driver. His last four results are 14th, 17th, 19th and 18th. From a performance perspective at Texas I would look for Almirola to be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. (Yahoo B Driver)
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Danica Patrick – At 1.5 mile tracks Danica Patrick is close to a lock for finishing between 17th and 24th. Since 2016 at tracks of this length she’s only twice finished outside of that range, and one of those was due to an engine failure. When you take away that engine failure (Las Vegas 2017) her percentage for finishing within that range since 2016 is 91.6% percent. In her one incident free race at a 1.5 mile track this year she finished 17th (Atlanta). On Sunday I would look for her to finish within her typical finish range at these venues (17th to 24th). (Yahoo B Driver)
Daniel Suarez – Daniel Suarez will be on equal footing with the competition at Texas. They won’t have an experience advantage on him with Texas being freshly repaved and reconfigured. This year at 1.5 mile tracks Suarez has consistently been a low-twenties driver. He finished 20th at Las Vegas, and 21st at Atlanta. Between the two tracks the level of correlation is higher at Las Vegas. In addition to finishing 20th there he had a 22nd place average running position and earned the 23rd best driver rating. On Sunday I think he has a great chance to get his best result at a 1.5 mile track. (Yahoo C Driver)
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