The Fantasy NASCAR Low Tier – Indianapolis
Regan Smith – At Indy, Regan Smith will be driving the #95 in place of Kasey Kahne. On Sunday I think he’ll have a likely similar finish range and be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. I’ll note I would lean more towards a result in the low-twenties. At Indy, Smith has a 25.0 average finish and in his two most recent races he’s had results of 26th (2016) and 18th (2012).
Bubba Wallace – Bubba Wallace has limited fantasy value at Indy. Based on how he’s been running recently I think he might be a low to mid-twenties driver. Pocono is the best barometer we have for his fantasy value and he had problems in both races there this year (crashed and engine blew up). At Indy in 2016, his most recent track start in the lower series he finished 14th.
David Ragan – At Indy I’m going to project David Ragan as a low to mid-twenties driver. If things go really well he might finish in the high-teens. Pocono is the most similar track and at that venue this year he had results of 16th and 19th. Indy has been a tough track for David Ragan and in the last two races he wrecked. Last year he finished 38th after wrecking on lap 56. He was running around the high-twenties so its not like he was that good anyways. In 2016 he wrecked with 40 laps to go which led to his 37th place finish. Performance wise he was really high-twenties good. In 2015 he had his best recent result and finished 21st. In the two races prior to that he finished 34th and 35th.
Michael McDowell – At Indy I think McDowell will likely be about a low-twenties to mid-twenties driver. Last year he had his best result at Indy and finished 18th. With about 20 cars wrecking I wouldn’t brag about that too much. Also in the race he had a 19th place average running position and earned the 24th best driver rating. In 2016 McDowell finished 23rd but it’s important to note there was a lot of late carnage. In the race his average running position was 29th. In 2015 he finished 31st. In 2014 he finished 26th.
Landon Cassill – If Indy can become a mass attrition race like it was last year there’s hope for Landon Cassill. Chances are that won’t be the case. On Sunday I would look for him to be a high-twenties to low-thirties driver. At Indy in the last two races he’s finished in the low-twenties. Last year he finished 5 laps down in 22nd. That should really tell you something about the attrition rate. In 2016 he finished 20th.
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