The Fantasy NASCAR Low Tier – Texas
David Ragan – At Texas, I would look for David Ragan to be a mid-twenties driver who’s capable of finishing marginally better. Last year at Texas he finished 24th in the fall and 23rd in the spring. I’ll note in the spring he finished 17 laps down, that should tell you something about the attrition rate. Last fall in addition to finishing 24th he had a 24th place average running position and earned the 24th best driver rating. This year at 1.5 mile tracks he has results of 16th (Atlanta) and 28th (Las Vegas). I’ll note his 28th at Las Vegas bothers me because the level of correlation to Texas is higher.
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Michael McDowell – Michael McDowell needs to be approached with caution at Texas. He had problems at Atlanta and at Las Vegas he finished four laps down in 30th. At Texas, I’m going to be cautious and view him as a low to mid-twenties driver and hope for the best. Last fall at Texas he didn’t have a race to brag about. He finished 29th and had a 30th place average running position. Last spring at Texas he finished 14th, but I wouldn’t put much stock in that performance since the attrition rate was catastrophic. In the three Texas races prior to that he had results of 21st, 23rd and 23rd.
Matt Tifft – From what I’ve seen from Matt Tifft at 1.5 mile tracks this season I just don’t see any upside, unless the attrition rate is apocalyptic. This year at tracks of this length he finished 28th at Atlanta and 34th at Las Vegas. He didn’t have problems in those races, he was just that bad. Look for him to likely be a high-twenties to low-thirties driver. Last year in the Xfinity Series he had results of 6th and 7th.
Ross Chastain – At Texas unless the attrition rate is really high nothing good will come from picking Ross Chastain. Last fall at Texas he finished 32nd and had a 32nd place average running position. Last spring he finished 18th, but since the attrition rate was so high I wouldn’t read into it. This year at 1.5 mile tracks he has results of 31st and 33rd. At Texas I would look for Chastain to be a high-twenties to low-thirties driver.
Landon Cassill – If you pick Landon Cassill you should be prepared for him to be a high-twenties to low-thirties driver. This year at 1.5 mile tracks both of his results are in the low-thirties. He finished 34th at Atlanta and 32nd at Las Vegas. This weekend I think more of the same should be expected. Last fall at Texas he had a poor performance and finished 35th. Last spring he finished 21st, but keep in mind he finished 13 laps down. In 2017 he had results of 26th and 29th.
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