Homestead-Miami Ford 400: Fantasy NASCAR “Top Tier Elite” Picks
Tony Stewart – Now’s not the time to bet against Stewart. He’s a man on a mission and won the last time the series visited an intermediate track. He has won at Homestead before but that win doesn’t hold any relevancy because the track was under a different configuration at the time. His recent history is nothing to brag about but he did finish 8th last year (17th place average running position).
Carl Edwards – Edwards is the defending champion of the Ford 400 and he has six consecutive top seven finishes in NASCAR’s season finale. Last year Edwards recorded a perfect 150 driver rating and led 190 laps. Edwards also might provide vital qualifying points this week. Last year he started second and in 2008 he started fourth. Since 2005 Edwards has a 4.3 average finish (best in series) and a 7.5 average running position (best in series).
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Kevin Harvick – Harvick has never won at Homestead but his 3rd (2008), 2nd (2009) and 3rd (2010) in the last three races is pretty impressive. His 2.6 average finish in this stretch is even better than Carl Edwards (3.0). If I were to pick Harvick at any intermediate track on the schedule this is the race I would pick him. In the last three races his average running position (6.3) is tied for the best in the series and no driver has ran more laps in the top fifteen then him (94.8% of laps).
Matt Kenseth – Kenseth won this race in 2007 and more importantly he’s in a Ford. Beyond the Blue Oval brigade theirs only a handful of drivers who will be in the mix for the win at Homestead-Miami. Last season Kenseth finished 9th and had a 7th place average running position. His 107.7 driver rating ranked as the 5th best.
Kasey Kahne – Kahne has been a top tier intermediate track driver throughout the Chase. I don’t expect the Ford 400 to be any different. Last year in his Red Bull Toyota he started on the pole and finished 6th. In the last three intermediate track races he’s finished 3rd (Texas), 4th (Charlotte) and 2nd (Kansas).
Jimmie Johnson – Last year was the first time Johnson actually raced at Homestead in years (119.4 driver rating, 3rd best). Between the years of 2006 and 2009 Jimmie Johnson was just in cruise control. Last year he got up on the wheel and finished second in his Lowes Chevrolet. Over his radio he mentioned that if needed he could catch Edwards and win the race. I don’t know if it would’ve worked out as easily as said but I like his confidence. In 2009 (cruise control year) Johnson finished 5th.
Greg Biffle – No driver has won more at Homestead then Greg Biffle (3 wins). His last four Ford 400’s haven’t been the best but this is a Ford track and Biffle will be fast. Since 2004 he has the third best average finish (8.3) and has finished in the top fifteen in every race but one. Greg Biffle has been strong in every recent intermediate track race and there’s no doubt in my mind he’ll be a top tier driver Sunday.
Check Out:
- Homestead-Miami Ford 400: Fantasy NASCAR “Front Runner” Picks
- Homestead-Miami Ford 400: Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Projections
- Drivers Who You Don’t Want To Pick In The Homestead-Miami Ford 400
