Kansas STP 400: Fantasy NASCAR “Mid Pack” Projections

Martin Truex Jr. – Truex’s best finish at Kansas was in his first race back in 2006 (11th). Since then he hasn’t finished in the top fifteen and his average finish is 28.8. Treux is a good qualifier at Kansas (started 8th twice last year) but his overall track record is terrible. Treux has been good this year and I don’t see why he can’t notch his best finish on Sunday

Ryan Newman – Newman finished 2nd, 2nd and 1st in his first three races at Kansas.  His first second place came in his pre rookie year. That’s pretty impressive. Unfortunately since he won in 2004 his average finish is 22.5  and his best finish is 9th. There is hope though, Newman’s had some good performances on intermediate tracks this year. At Las Vegas he finished 4th and at Auto Club he finished 7th. Texas wasn’t so good though (21st). I predict Newman will finish somewhere between 8th and 20th (big range but based on his track history it’s appropriate).

Marcos Ambrose – Last fall Ambrose had his best finish at Kansas (9th, but don’t overlook his 19th place average running position). His next best finish is 14th and then his other three finishes are all worse than 26th. I’m honestly not feeling Marcos Ambrose this week. Kansas is a lot like Michigan and Auto Club and for whatever reason these tracks have often proven difficult for him. At Auto Club Ambrose finished 21st.

Jamie McMurray – McMurray has two top ten finishes at Kansas. His last one was back in 2004. Since then he only has one finish better than 17th. Last season McMurray finished 22nd and 29th. His combined average running position was 22.5, and he only ran in the top fifteen for 8.6% of the laps ran. I will state that there is dark horse potential here based on how he’s ran on 1.5 mile tracks this year (Las Vegas – 8th, Texas – 14th).

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